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    - Tyler Durden

    UK Bans Pretend "Stepsister" Porn Months After Actual Muslim Incest Protections Authored by Steve Watson via modernity.news, The British government has banned β€œstep” porn, where the porn stars pretend to be related in a scripted format. Meanwhile, a bill earlier this year to ban first cousin marriage was rejected. The crackdown targets consenting adults role-playing taboo family scenarios, including step-family tropes.Β  Offenders face prison time, and platforms must block UK access or face Ofcom fines. It’s sold as β€œprotecting children” and aligning online rules with offline laws. Ban on step incest porn and 'barely legal' content in government climbdownhttps://t.co/FrwZcknX8v β€” Sky News (@SkyNews) April 10, 2026 Yet the same government draws a firm line at stopping the real thing when it involves actual blood relatives. 🚨 UK GOVERNMENT IS OFFICIALLY INSANE The UK has just banned people from watching porn that features β€œstep-family” members. Yet the same government still refuses to ban actual cousin-on-cousin incest. Let that sink in. They’re more concerned about fictional step-relatives on… pic.twitter.com/uzDk4REppS β€” British Intel (@TheBritishIntel) April 11, 2026 First-cousin marriage remains fully legal in the UK. A Tory MP’s bill to prohibit it was blocked. Successive governments, including the current one, have opted for β€œeducation” and genetic counselling instead of legislation.Β  An NHS report last year even highlighted supposed β€œbenefits” of first-cousin marriage – stronger family networks and economic stability – before being quietly pulled after public backlash. UK health agency cites β€˜benefits’ of first-cousin marriage in bizarre report, unsurprisingly sparks outrage https://t.co/NrYLqX4BxE pic.twitter.com/r3zpJ7nW8N β€” New York Post (@nypost) October 1, 2025 Critics have repeatedly pointed out that such unions are far more common in certain Muslim communities, particularly among British Pakistani groups where rates have historically hit 40-55 percent in places like Bradford.Β  Many argue that’s precisely why Westminster refuses to touch the issue with a bargepole – cultural sensitivity trumps public health data showing doubled risks of serious birth defects, genetic disorders, and long-term strain on the NHS. πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ β€œThey did a study in Bradford, UK where there’s a high propensity of Cousin marriage and they found - that first Cousin babies had doubled the chance of a recessive gene disorder” β€œHigher infant mortality rates, kidney and liver problems, developmental disorders” β€œMany… pic.twitter.com/adIz5lVY4l β€” Concerned Citizen (@BGatesIsaPyscho) January 16, 2026 Meanwhile, the porn ban isn’t happening in a vacuum. It’s the latest incremental step in a broader push that funnels users through age-verification gateways. Those systems don’t stop at blocking β€œstep” content or barely-legal role-play. They lay the groundwork for something far more permanent. As we previously detailed, Apple is already forcing iPhone users in the U.K. to prove age with ID or lose unrestricted internet access: Similar pressures are mounting on phones and devices across the board: The UK government’s plans for newborn digital IDs show the endgame: cradle-to-grave tracking dressed up as child protection: This is classic nanny-state sleight of hand. Ban the pretend taboo to justify scanning everyone’s ID at the digital door, while the real taboo that carries measurable human costs gets waved through for political reasons.Β  Fictional step-siblings on a screen? Criminal. Actual cousin marriages producing children with elevated health risks? Carry on, just don’t film it. The message to the public is unmistakable: your private fantasies are the state’s business, but protecting future generations from documented genetic harm is not – especially if it risks offending key voting blocs. Britain’s ruling class has its priorities exactly backwards. While they lecture the public on online harms and roll out surveillance-by-stealth, they leave untouched practices that clash with basic Western norms of family and child welfare.Β  Freedom isn’t protected by banning role-play; it’s eroded when governments pick and choose which realities to ignore for the sake of political convenience. Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating viaΒ LocalsΒ or check out our uniqueΒ merch. Follow us on XΒ @ModernityNews. Tyler Durden Mon, 04/13/2026 - 03:30

    - Tyler Durden

    $92 Million In Banned AI Chips Went From Super Micro To Little Known Chinese Tech Company A little-known Chinese tech company saw its stock drop sharply after U.S. authorities charged a co-founder of Super Micro Computer with illegally smuggling advanced AI chips into China, according to Bloomberg.Β  The case is putting fresh focus on how restricted American technology may still be entering the country. The company, Sharetronic Data Technology, quickly denied any connection to Super Micro and said it complies with all hardware purchasing regulations. However, newly surfaced records tell a more complicated story. Those records suggest that Sharetronic procured hundreds of Super Micro systems containing high-end chips from Nvidia Corp.β€”technology that has been banned from being sold to or used within China without approval from Washington since 2022. The documents point to shipments of servers equipped with Nvidia’s H100 and H200 processors, widely used for training and running advanced AI systems. Some of these systems were reportedly transferred between company entities, raising further questions about how they were obtained. Bloomberg writes that although the overall scale is small compared to major tech giants, the situation highlights strong demand in China for restricted AI hardware. Companies like Sharetronic often rely on these systems to rent computing power to clients, making access especially valuable. The case also underscores the difficulty of tracking where sensitive technology ends up. Both Nvidia and Super Micro have said they do not knowingly supply restricted products without proper authorization, yet the records suggest such equipment may still circulate. As the U.S. continues tightening export controls, this situation highlights gaps in enforcement and leaves open bigger questions about whether current measures are enough to fully limit the global flow of advanced AI chips. Back in March,Β Federal prosecutors charged a co-founder of Super Micro Computer Inc. and two associates with participating in a scheme to divert roughly $2.5 billion in advanced Nvidia chips to China. The charges marked a notable escalation in Washington’s effort to police the flow of high-end artificial-intelligence hardware, shifting focus from overseas resellers to individuals with direct ties to U.S. technology firms. Now defunct short seller Hindenburg Research had identified the executive by name in a report they published earlier the year before.Β  $SMCI board member Wally Liaw and others were indicted today on allegations of export control violations, as we had alleged in detail in our August 2024 @HindenburgRes report. Indictment link: https://t.co/dNIlfTpYJw Hindenburg report link: https://t.co/jDDWeblHT2 pic.twitter.com/fqt3P628Ls β€” Nate Anderson (@NateHindenburg) March 20, 2026 Β  Tyler Durden Mon, 04/13/2026 - 02:45

    - Tyler Durden

    France's Gig-Economy Built On Migrant Labor As 99% Of Surveyed Delivery-Riders Are Foreign-Born, Two-Thirds Are Illegal Authored by Thomas Brooke via Remix News, A major new study has found that France’s food delivery sector is almost exclusively staffed by migrant workers, a majority of whom are living in France illegally. TheΒ EnquΓͺteΒ report, based on a survey of more than 1,000 riders in Paris and Bordeaux, reveals that 98.7 percent of delivery couriers were born outside France, with nearly two-thirds lacking legal residency status, highlighting the extent to which the platform economy depends on a highly vulnerable migrant labor force. The workforce is dominated by recent arrivals from Africa, the majority of whom are not undertaking any other education or training in France. A total of 55.2 percent of riders come from West Africa, making it by far the largest group. A further 17.4 percent are from North Africa, while 4.6 percent come from other African countries, meaning that over 77 percent of all riders are African-born. By comparison, 16.6 percent are from Asia, 4 percent from the Middle East, and fewer than 2 percent from France. Most riders are new or relatively new arrivals. Some 98 percent of those surveyed had arrived in France after 2014, while 47.2 percent had arrived in the last five years. 🚴 Β« UbΓ©risation Β» et immigration clandestine La quasi-totalitΓ© des livreurs de repas pour des plateformes numΓ©riques sont des immigrΓ©s rΓ©cents. ➑️ Deux tiers des livreurs sont en situation irrΓ©guliΓ¨re. Les faits Γ  retenir d’une Γ©tude inΓ©dite 🧢 pic.twitter.com/0U9r3VoC56 β€” Observatoire de l'immigration et de la dΓ©mographie (@ObservatoireID) April 2, 2026 The vast majority do not have the right to work in France and are living there illegally β€” 64.4 percent of riders have no residence permit, meaning they are undocumented. Among the remainder, 12.4 percent hold a residence permit of at least one year, 9.7 percent have a permit of less than one year, and 13.3 percent have a 10-year residency card. Many operate using accounts rented from third parties to circumvent work requirements, creating an additional layer of economic dependency. The findings suggest that this structure helps explain the extreme working patterns documented in the report. Riders work an average of 63 hours per week, with most working six or seven days, often year-round. Despite this, average gross earnings were just €1,480 per month, with hourly pay equivalent to €5.83 before expenses. Read more here... Tyler Durden Mon, 04/13/2026 - 02:00

    - Tyler Durden

    Washington, D.C. Will Feel Like June Next Week. Cue MSM Climate Doom Propaganda After a stretch of roller-coaster temperature swings across the Mid-Atlantic in March and early April, the midpoint of the month is now shaping up to be unusually warm, with highs that could exceed the region's average for June. That kind of temperature anomaly could prompt left-wing corporate media outlets to kick off their seasonal global-warming doom news cycle as summer approaches. "Temperatures will soar well into the 80s just a week later, and on Thursday, it will be near 90 degrees. That's more like June or July," meteorologist Ben Noll wrote in a weather note titled "Hello...summer?" while referring to the U.S. East Coast. Noll continued, "That's the type of variability that spring is known for, but a 70-degree temperature swing is more like whiplash. It will feel like summer up and down the East Coast this week as a big ridge of high-pressure flexes its muscles and sends sultry air northward." However, he noted, "It won't last. Much cooler air from Canada will sweep in late next weekend or to start the week of April 20." The latest data from Bloomberg shows highs in the Washington, DC area will trend near the 90s this week into Saturday, but expect a sharp drop in high temperatures late next weekend. Average temperatures across the Capital Beltway will hover near 80F this coming week, well above the 30-year norm of around 57Β°F. Like clockwork, the left-wing corporate media propaganda machine during the Biden-Harris regime years used global-warming headlines to mislead the public about an imaginary climate crisis so that green policies could get passed and climate NGOs could get funded - all to loot US taxpayers. With President Trump back in power, left-wing MSM outlets dialed back the climate-fear propaganda in 2025. The big question now is whether MSM will reactivate their climate crisis megaphone as the week's unusual warmth spreads across the U.S. East. There's a war on your mind.Β  Related: Meteorologists Warn About Super El Nino Event Don't count on Greta to comment on climate; she's moved on to all things Palestine (probably because there is more activist money there). Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 23:15

    - Tyler Durden

    Half Of US Data Centers Scheduled To Start In 2026, Will Be Canceled Or Delayed Just over two years ago, we first penned our views on "The Next AI Trade", which looked beyond the hyperscalers and the data centers supporting the AI revolution, and instead focused on the energy and logistical needs that would be so very critical in allowing the US to dominate China in the existential race to first reach Artificial General Intelligence (which many have dubbed the next nuclear arms race due to its profound civilizational implications). It was here that we defined the "Power Up America" basket as the next AI trade.Β  Yet as one can see in the chart below, after outperforming the AI Data center and the TMT AI baskets in 2024 and much of 2025, the Power Up America trade has lagged and clearly underperformed, as some investors have started to express doubt that the US would ever be able to "grow" into its massive AI computing needs... with dire consequences for record AI capex budgets, something the market has yet to grasp. And unfortunately, with every passing day, the outlook for the US AI revolution looks increasingly more dim.Β  That's because, as Canaccord Genuity analyst George Gianarikas writes, "the American data center boom is hitting a formidable wall of logistical friction." He is referring to the latest outlook by Sightline Climate, which is also reinforced by recent articles from Bloomberg and others, and reveals a sobering reality for 2026: nearly half of the nation's planned 16-gigawatt capacity faces cancellation or delay, with only 5 gigawatts currently under construction. This inertia stems from a volatile mix of local permitting hurdles, community resistance, and a desperate reliance on overextended global supply chains for critical componentsΒ like transformers and helium. That's right: half. That's right: despite $700BN+ of expected 2026 hyperscaler capex, nearly half of the data centers scheduled to begin operations in the US in 2026 "will either face delays or outright cancellations." The data, which comes from Sightline Climate's 2026 Data Center Outlook,Β  suggests that just 30% - 50% of the ~16 GW of planned US capacity for the year will face risks, with only ~5 GW currently under construction! And the horizon only grows darker in the coming years. By 2027, the gap between ambition and reality widens further, as a mere fraction of the announced 21.5 gigawatts has actually broken ground. Worse, according to Futurism, data centers slated to open in 2027 are progressing far more slowly than anticipated. "Only about 6.3 gigawatts worth of computing infrastructureΒ are actually under construction, compared to 21.5 announced gigawatts." And then visibility drops to virtually nothing beyond 2028 as uncertainty increases materially in the outer years. According to the article, "things get even dodgier in the coming years, with the vast majority of data centers planned for launch between 2028 and 2032 having yet to even break ground. There are a further 37 gigawatts of planned infrastructure which haven’t even received a firm completion date, only 4.5 [gigawatts] of whichΒ have actually begun work." This trend suggests an increasingly uncertain future for the industry, where power constraints and grid instability cast long shadows over projectsΒ slated through 2032. But while one can pretend the future is irrelevant, the same limitations are visible in the here and now: according to the SightLine report, "at least 16GW of data center capacity is slated to come online this year across 140 projects. 53% will be grid connected, 3% will be powered solely by on-site power, and 25% have not disclosed their powering strategies. We expect 30-50% of theseΒ projects to be delayed. Only 5GW is currently in construction." And the punchline: "We expect 30-50% of 2026 projects to be delayed, driven by power constraintsΒ (25% of projects have not disclosed powering strategies), increasingly effective community opposition, and potential grid equipment shortages. 11GW of 2026 capacity remains in the announced stage with no signs of construction, despite typical build times of 12 to 18 months. ItΚΌs still possible for this capacity to comeΒ online, but it would need to dramatically accelerate." Which brings us to the question we raised more than two years ago: how will the US modernize its ancient power grid and build out the huge energy supply needed to power up the AI revolution. Here, too, it appears there has been little progress:Β  "On-site and hybrid power punch above their weight when measured by capacity. Grid-connected projects still lead at 40% of total capacity, but on-site generation and hybrid approaches together account for close to half of announced capacity, far exceeding their share by project count. A small number of gigascale, grid independent campuses account for this capacity, including New Era Energy & DigitalΚΌs 7GW project in Lea County, Homer CityΚΌs 4.5 GW coal-to-gas redevelopment in Pennsylvania, and CrusoeΚΌs 1.8GW natural gas and renewables project in Cheyenne, Wyoming. These projects are large enough to require their own generation plant, and have the capital to fund it. Waiting for the grid to supply thisΒ level of capacity could take a decade." The problem, as Canaccord warns, is that "without a radical acceleration in domestic manufacturing and grid integration, the digital expansion of the late 2020s risks stalling into a series of unfulfilled promises." Others agree:Β in a note published over the weekend by Goldman Executive Direct Shreeti Kapa, she wrote that at a recent dinner with investors, the overwhelming consensus was that "there is simply not enough compute and every player is acutely compute constrained – bottlenecks from fabs to permitting for data-centers to power to memory to labor are real and are here to stay for some time to come. I wasn’t sure what to make of it – if its consensus is it peak, or is the imagination for scale of AI demand is so great among a very small sub-segment of investors & technologists here in the valley and the rest of the word is yet to catch-up?"Β  While imaginations may indeed by running wild, the hard limitations in the real world are indeed starting to catch up: we recently highlighted OpenAI's decision to pause its UK Stargate project - a partnership with Nvidia and Nscale to deploy up to 31k GPUs - citing the UK’s prohibitive energy costs and regulatory hurdles.Β The project was to be based across several sites including Cobalt Park and a dedicated "AI Growth Zone", enabling OpenAI's models to provide local compute for critical public services and highly regulated industries including finance and national security. UK energy prices represent a key bottleneck to AI infrastructure development. According to the report, UK's industrial prices "are among the highest in the world" and have been a key gating factor delaying companies from building AI infrastructure. According to a spokesperson from OpenAI, β€œwe continue to explore Stargate U.K. and will move forward when the right conditions such as regulation and the cost of energy enable long-term infrastructure investment.” OpenAI and Nscale maintain plans to develop the project in the future. According to the OpenAI spokesperson, β€œWe see huge potential for the U.K.’s AI future... London is home to our largest international research hub, and we support the Government’s ambition to be an AI leader. In the meantime, we are investing in talent and expanding our local presence, while also delivering on the commitmentsΒ under our MOU with the government to adopt frontier AI in UK public services.” Bloomberg also chimed in earlier this month, writing that "as the global AI race heats up, there is a huge rush to build data centers fast. There’s no lack of money chasing these projects, with tech giants Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com, Meta Platforms Inc. and Microsoft Corp. committed to spending more than $650 billion this year alone. Yet neither ambition nor capital is enough to materialize all the necessary components."Β  Here Bloomberg again quotes the Sightline data, noting that "almost half of the US data centers planned for this year are expected to be delayed or canceled" and as one big reason for the delay Bloomberg cites the shortage of electrical equipment, such as transformers, switchgear and batteries: "They are needed not just for powering AI, but also for building out the grid that is seeing increased consumption from electric cars and heat pumps. US manufacturing capacity for these devices cannot keep up with demand, and the scarcity has caused data center builders to rely on imports." At its core, the problem is the lack of domestic manufacturing which makes sense for a country that has outsourced much of its industrial base to China in the past century, and despite loud promises of reshoring, there are few tangible results.Β  Indeed, while over the past 10 years, the US government has tried a series of policies to reshore manufacturing, they haven’t yet yielded a significant boost to domestic capacity, forcing businesses to look to China regardless of the tariffs or the alleged national security risk. As a result, the US now finds itself in an absurd Catch 22: the US needs crucial parts from China to dominate it in the AI race, while China needs advanced chips from American companies to stay in the race. The biggest bottlenecks, understandably, have been observed in the power space - the same space we aggressively pitched two years agoΒ as enabling the AI revolution, hoping that whoever was in charge of the US would take America's chronic energy deficiency seriously. It appears we may have been overly optimistic. One thing is clear: data centers have rapidly grown in size and now consume more electricity than their predecessors a decade ago. That demands bigger transformers, which safely pull electricity from the high-voltage grid to feed to tiny computer chips. Without the right transformers, there’s no way to make the data center work. Before 2020, these high-power transformers typically arrived 24 to 30 months after an order was placed. Those timelines were β€œtotally manageable in the old world” when data centers didn’t need such large transformers or at such short timelines, says Philippe Piron, chief executive officer of GE Vernova’s electrification division. But AI companies β€œwant something typically in less than 18 months.” The spike in demand from data centers and grid expansion have pushed up prices and extended delivery times to as much as five years. That is why some, like Crusoe, have even resorted to refurbishing old transformers from shuttered power plants as a stopgap measure. Meanwhile, a far greater looming problem is where will the US source the dozens of Gigawatts needed to power up the AI revolution. So far Trump's promises of a nuclear renaissance have remained just that, with virtually no new nuclear power plants breaking ground, while the push for small modular reactors - a ray of hope in an otherwise dreary landscape - is still years away from practical results, let alone scale.Β  Oh, and there is the question of who pays for all this: by now everyone knows about the hundreds of billions in capex the hyperscalers will spend over the next few years.Β  What fewer people know is that this money won't be enough. According to an analysis by JPMorgan, it will take no less than $5 trillion to fund the AI cycle, and even with the massive capex - and debt outlays - the US government will still be on the hook for over a trillion to close the funding gap. It's not just power: as Canaccord writes, beyond the power-related technicalities "lies a fraught sociopolitical reality". Consider the following: The Maine House of Representatives approved a moratorium on large-scale data centers until 2027. This pause allows a newly formed coordination council to weigh innovation against environmental and resource stewardship. The House passed the bill 82-62, advancing it to the Senate. The goal of the bill, according to state representatives, is not to fight innovation, but as a pause for planning to improve stewardship of the state's resources and limit financial and environmental impacts on the state's citizens.Β In addition to the moratorium, "the bill also creates the Maine Data Center Coordination Council, and instructs the council to provide strategic input, facilitate planning considerations and evaluate policy tools to address data centerΒ opportunities." Simultaneously, OpenAI faces mounting scrutiny as Florida’s Attorney General launched an investigation into the company following the release of safety-critical chat logs. And then there was last week's firebomb attack on Sam Altman's home: while the police are still investigating, and there are many reasons why someone may want to express their "displeasure" with the man behind ChatGPT, the reality is that, as we warned last August, "between exploding electricity bills and lack of jobs for grads, a new luddite revolution is coming - they will be burning down data centers within a year." between exploding electricity bills and lack of jobs for grads, a new luddite revolution is coming - they will be burning down data centers within a year β€” zerohedge (@zerohedge) August 25, 2025 Sure enough, these institutional shifts arrive as a recent Quinnipiac University poll - which looked at AI use and its impacts on daily life, education and healthcare -Β confirmed the public is growing increasingly wary of AI’s deepening integration into healthcare, education, and daily life. Here are some of the findings showing just how rapidly public sentiment has turned against AI: The bottom line is that the time for talk has long passed, and yet for all the posturing, the US government continues to act as if a victory against China in the AI race is a given. It is anything but, especially with America's own society rapidly turning against the next industrial revolution. As Canaccord concludes, "Not only are the energy constraints mounting, but so are the sociopolitical ones.Β Something's got to give." Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 22:38

    - Tyler Durden

    Pelosi's Monster: The Creation And Destruction Of Eric Swalwell Authored by Jonathan Turley via jonathanturley.org, In Mary Shelley’s famous work, Dr. Frankenstein is asked, β€œAccursed creator! Why did you form a monster so hideous that even you turned from me in disgust?” This week, Rep. Eric Swalwell (D. Calif.), the leading Democratic candidate for California governor, may wish he could ask that of former Speaker Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.). After sexual assault allegations were raised by former staff members, Pelosi, Sen. Adam Schiff (D., Calif.), and even his close friend (and former campaign chair) Sen. Ruben Gallego (D., Ariz.) have withdrawn their endorsements. The fact, however, is that (regardless of the merits of these latest allegations), Swalwell was always a notorious figure in Washington who was constructed by Pelosi and others to serve their interests. As Pelosi and his other allies now seek to destroy him, they cannot escape their hand in his creation. Multiple women came forward this week to allege sexual assault and other potentially criminal acts by Swalwell. The first allegations came from a former staffer who said that she was raped twice by Swalwell, who had sex with her when she was too drunk to consent. Swalwell isΒ denying the allegations. Four women spoke toΒ the Chronicle; one former staffer alleged that she tried to fight off Swalwell who left her bruised and bleeding after a rape. Even CNN, which eagerly featured Swalwell on programs as he attacked the Trump Administration, ran detailed accounts of another alleged assault in a hotel room. One of these accounts is from February of this year. The accounts, if true, suggest that Swalwell is not just a sexual harasser but a sexual predator operating in plain view. One woman, Ally Sammarco, alleged that she (like other women) received nude photos of Swalwell as well as inappropriate social media messages. Swalwell’s scandal is about as surprising in Washington as the return of the cicadas. Swalwell was infamously accused of having an affair with an alleged Chinese spy named Fang Fang. His patron in Congress, then-Speaker Nancy Pelosi, immediately moved to protect him, declaring, β€œI don’t have any concern about Mr. Swalwell.” Pelosi evenΒ blocked efforts to remove him from the House Intelligence Committee despite obvious concerns that he was susceptible to blackmail over his sexual trysts.Β  She lashed out at those calling for his removal in the interests of national security, declaring β€œI do think that it is unfortunate that Mr. McCarthy is trying to make an issue of this.” After sexual assault allegations were raised by former staff members, Pelosi, Sen. Adam Schiff and even his close friend (and former campaign chair) Sen. Ruben Gallego have withdrawn their endorsements. What these women are describing is a politician who felt that he had a license to prey on female staffers. I wonder who gave him that impression? For years, the Democratic establishment and the media ignored any rumors surrounding Swalwell because he was their useful monster, someone who was an attack dog always straining at the leash. Swalwell was always the first to a mob. Indeed, he now hopes that voters will not apply the same standard he applied to figures like Justice Brett Kavanaugh. In his confirmation hearing, Kavanaugh faced an allegation of attempted rape from high school, and Swalwell had little patience for those of us arguing for a modicum of due process. Swalwell said that Kavanaugh’s guilt was self-evident: β€œMore and more cases that are separate and independent, that look the same, pretty soon a prosecutor starts to say to a jury … that the arrows are pointing in the same direction.” On the Epstein matter, SwalwellΒ demandedΒ full disclosure and called legal concerns β€œbulls****” in a screaming match with FBI Director Kash Patel. Recently, Swalwell took aΒ different view on the release of his own FBI filesΒ from the Chinese spy scandal. In aΒ cease and desist letter to prevent public disclosure, attorneys Norm Eisen and Sean Hecker warned Patel, β€œYour actions threaten to expose you, others at the FBI, and the FBI itself to significant legal liability.” It is now a pile-on as Swalwell’s former enablers run for cover: even Gallego, who posed with Swalwell bare-chested on camels in Qatar. Notably, no one seemed concerned that the trade group US-Qatar Business Council spent more than $84,000 to fly Swalwell, Gallego, and their loved ones to Qatar for the luxurious trip. The most obvious beneficiary of the scandal, Katie Porter,Β has denied any involvement with the woman who organized the disclosures against Swalwell. The irony is that Swalwell’s scandal will remove a candidate who has allegedly physically assaulted staffers in favor of a candidate who has verbally assaulted staffers. The implosion of Eric Swalwell is raising questions about how so many close associates and friends could not have known about the rumors of his misconduct. Now, suddenly, Swalwell has no friends or allies after years of being praised by Pelosi and many in the media. Mary Shelley made the point most vividly in Frankenstein that there is little difference between the creators and the monsters in such moments:Β β€œIt is true, we shall be monsters, cut off from all the world; but on that account we shall be more attached to one another.” Jonathan Turley is a law professor and the best-selling author of β€œRage and the Republic: The Unfinished Story of the American Revolution.” Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 22:10

    - Tyler Durden

    Swalwell Quits CA Governor's Race Amid Sexual Assault Allegations Update: SwalwellΒ suspended his California gubernatorial campaign on SundayΒ as furor over his sex assault allegations reached a fever pitch. "To my family, staff, friends, and supporters, I am deeply sorry for mistakes in judgment I’ve made in my past," he wrote on X. "I will fight the serious, false allegations that have been made β€” but that’s my fight, not a campaign’s."Β  I am suspending my campaign for Governor. To my family, staff, friends, and supporters, I am deeply sorry for mistakes in judgment I’ve made in my past. I will fight the serious, false allegations that have been made β€” but that’s my fight, not a campaign’s. β€” Eric Swalwell (@ericswalwell) April 13, 2026 Swalwell's decision came after a firehose of Democrats pulled their support and told him to quit.Β  * * * The latest: β€’ Eric Swalwell’s California governor campaign collapsed after sexual assault allegations. β€’ Former staffer alleged harassment plus two assaults while she was intoxicated. β€’ Four women total have accused Swalwell of sexual misconduct. β€’ Swalwell denies all claims as false and politically motivated. β€’ Major Democratic allies withdrew support and called for him to exit the race. - Update (as of Saturday morning): Since the San Francisco Chronicle story and initial fallout (including Hakeem Jeffries’ call for Swalwell to step down), Swalwell released a video across social media strongly denying the allegations as β€œflat false” and confirming he is not dropping out of the governor’s race. In the video Swalwell specifically referred to the accusations as coming from β€œanonymous” people, even though at least one woman (the primary accuser) has come forward publicly and given an on-camera interview to CNN. Hear it directly from me. These allegations are flat false. And I will fight them. pic.twitter.com/bQSlCquD1U β€” Rep. Eric Swalwell (@RepSwalwell) April 11, 2026 CNN’s follow-up confirmed four women total have now alleged misconduct - including the named Chronicle/CNN accuser (former staffer) plus three others citing unwanted touching, intoxicated encounters, and unsolicited explicit messages or nude photos. Additional prominent Democrats (Sen. Adam Schiff, campaign co-chairs Reps. Jimmy Gomez and Adam Gray) withdrew endorsements and joined calls for Swalwell to exit the race and resign from Congress. More unions and rival candidates echoed those demands. The campaign saw continued staff departures, quietly removed its endorsements page (now a 404 error), and faces legal threats against accusers. Prediction markets price his win odds at roughly 4-5% and show ~86%+ odds he drops out before the June primary. Republicans (including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna) have filed motions to expel him from the House. No formal investigations or lawsuits have been publicly filed yet, but the political damage appears severe and possibly irreversible. Eric Swalwell's chances of becoming California'sΒ next corrupt governor cratered on FridayΒ after detailed sexual assault allegations from a former district-office staffer were published in theΒ San Francisco Chronicle.Β  Polymarket odds of becoming California's next governor are at 4% as of this writing... Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 5% Β· No 96%View full market & trade on Polymarket* * * The stunning drop - visible in real time on platforms such as Polymarket, where β€œYes” contracts on Swalwell's victory traded as high as $1,100 earlier in the day before cratering to pennies - reflects a campaign that appears to be in free fall just weeks before ballots drop in the June primary. Traders piled into the β€œNo” side at 96 cents, effectively pricing in the congressman’s political demise in the nation’s largest state. The Allegations A woman who worked in Swalwell's Castro Valley district office for nearly two years, beginning around 2019 when she was 21,Β alleged that Swalwell sexually harassed her as soon as she started,Β that they had some consensual encounters while she was on staff, and that he twice sexually assaulted her when she was too intoxicated to consent - once in a 2019 hotel room and again in 2024 after she had left his office. The woman, who is not named in the story, told the Chronicle she felt pressured by his position of power and has lived in fear of coming forward. "She said Swalwell, who is married and 17 years her senior, tried to kiss her in her car when she drove him home from a donor meeting one night. Driving him to another event weeks later, she said Swalwell pulled out his penis in the car and asked her to perform oral sex on him. She said she did so in a parking lot. In September 2019, the woman said, Swalwell invited her out for drinks and she became so severely intoxicated that she does not remember the rest of the night. She said she woke up naked in Swalwell’s hotel bed and could feel the effect of vaginal intercourse. She said Swalwell distanced himself from her afterward and the relationship faded." -The Chronicle Swalwell immediately rejected the claims as β€œfalse” ...hang on...Β  Eric Swalwell told us to BELIEVE SURVIVORS. Do as he says! pic.twitter.com/ul1cHHcPDf β€” Breanna Morello (@BreannaMorello) April 10, 2026 ...and politically motivated, calling them a last-ditch effort to kneecap the Democratic primary leader. β€œFor nearly 20 years, I have served the public β€” as a prosecutor and a congressman - and have always protected women,” he said in a statement. β€œI will defend myself with the facts and where necessary bring legal action.” His attorney sent a cease-and-desist letter to the accuser’s counsel threatening defamation litigation. The allegations landed as the campaign was already reeling from weeks of unverified social-media rumors about inappropriate conduct with female staffers. By Friday, the fallout was swift and brutal. At least four senior aides had resigned in anticipation of the story, according to multiple Democratic sources familiar with the situation. Unions that had endorsed Swalwell, including the powerful UFCW Western States Council, withdrew their support and called on him to suspend his campaign. β€œThe allegations … are extremely detailed, troubling, and gut-wrenching,” the union said in a statement. Even longtime ally Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.) publicly withdrew his endorsement. House Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi, who had been neutral in the race, issued a carefully worded statement Friday night: β€œThis extremely sensitive matter must be appropriately investigated with full transparency and accountability. As I discussed with Congressman Swalwell, it is clear that is best done outside of a gubernatorial campaign.” * * *Β Update:Β House Speaker Hakeem Jeffries has called for Swalwell to step down, as well as for an investigation. Statement on the Serious Accusations against Rep. Eric Swalwell. pic.twitter.com/9lkYqiCIGr β€” Hakeem Jeffries (@RepJeffries) April 11, 2026 Swalwell’s campaign manager, Yardena Wolf - his longtime chief of staff who moved over to run the gubernatorial operation - had personally briefed a small group of online influencers earlier in the week on the initial rumors, sticking to the campaign’s line that the claims were β€œfalse, outrageous” and that no NDAs or ethics complaints existed. Wolf has not issued a new public statement since the Chronicle story dropped, and a campaign spokesperson was unreachable Friday night amid the staff exodus. JUST IN: The 'Endorsements' section on Eric Swalwell's campaign site has been removed and returns a 404 error. pic.twitter.com/sMndosxwWl β€” Rob Pyers (@rpyers) April 10, 2026 The political math in California has shifted overnight. Just weeks ago, Emerson College polling showed Swalwell leading a fragmented Democratic field with 17 percent support and 25 percent undecided. Prediction markets briefly pegged his chances above 60 percent. He had positioned himself as the Democrat best equipped to counter the Trump administration from Sacramento, leveraging his national profile and prosecutorial background. Now the race is wide open. Rivals who once struggled for attention are suddenly the story, while progressive voices that once gave Swalwell the benefit of the doubt are demanding full investigations - or his immediate exit from the race and even Congress. The timing has fueled intense partisan finger-pointing. Swalwell allies describe the allegations as a coordinated hit job engineered by flailing opponents and amplified by conservative voices. Supporters of the accuser counter that the details are credible, long-suppressed and too serious to ignore for a candidate seeking the state’s highest office. Whatever the ultimate legal or electoral verdict, the market verdict is already in. The blue line on the betting charts has turned into a cliff - and Eric Swalwell’s path to the governor’s mansion has all but vanished. Needless to say, not even Chinese spies will be interested in Eric after this. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 21:17

    - Tyler Durden

    Massie For Governor? GOP's Libertarian Firebrand Talks Political Future On Friday the Ron Paul Institute (RPI) has highlighted an important and fresh interview touching on the Republican Rep's political future:Β Governor Thomas Massie?Β - RPI's Adam Dick asks. "A run for governor may be in the future for Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), but only if he first wins his May 19 Republican primary contest β€” the next step in his race for reelection to the United States House of Representatives," the RPI report says. But, "If Massie loses next month, the seven-term representative says he expects he will call it quits on working in government, stating he would consider the loss as β€œa sign from God or the people or both that I should goΒ back to the farm." Getty Images President Trump has on more than once occasion personally called out the Libertarian firebrand for vocally opposing the White House on various key issues, and especially most recently on the Iran war. Massie has been one of the very view GOP members to join Dems in trying to force a Congressional vote to impose limits on Trump's military actions in Iran. As a reminder: Reps.Β Thomas MassieΒ (R-Ky.) andΒ Ro KhannaΒ (D-Calif.) brought a war powers resolution on Iran to the House floor less than a week after Trump joined Israeli leaders in launching massive strikes against Iran in late February. It failed by a vote of 212-219, with four Democrats bucking their party to oppose it: Reps. Greg Landsman (Ohio), Jared Golden (Maine), Henry Cuellar (Texas) and Juan Vargas (Calif.).Β  He remains one of the few outspoken 'non-interventionist' Republican members of the House. On the Senate side, Rand Paul, also of Kentucky, is Libertarian-leaning and condemns foreign adventurism and 'wars of choice'. As for a potential future run for Governor of Kentucky, Massie hinted at itΒ here. If U.S. Rep. Thomas Massie loses hisΒ upcoming primary against a Republican opponentΒ backed by President Donald Trump, you'll see a whole lot less of him. "If I lose on May 19, I am not doing any more government ever," he told University of Louisville students April 6 at an event on campus. "... It's a sign from God or the people or both that I should goΒ back to the farm." But if he wins, Frankfort could be on the mind of the longtime congressman from Northern Kentucky, who's emerged during Trump's second term as one ofΒ Congress' most consequential members. During a question-and-answer portion of his forum, hosted by the school's College Republicans group, an attendee asked Massie if he would ever consider running for governor. Gov. Andy Beshear is ineligible to run for a third time as heΒ eyes a presidential campaign, leaving the seat open at the end of 2027. And then came this: Massie wouldn't run for a U.S. Senate seat β€” "it's the same circus with different clowns, and also they don't have a discharge petition,Β which is kind of a neat thing to do" β€” but he sees the appeal of the governor's mansion. "If I do win (the upcoming primary), I would consider it," responded Massie, who would be up for reelection in 2028 if he wins the 2026 race. He pointed to an old friend he'd served with in Congress for three terms as an example. "His name was Ron DeSantis," Massie said. "What I've seen him achieve in Florida is inspiring and a lot of people want to move to that state, so I do believe that you could make a difference." Grant County GOP put on a great Lincoln Day Dinner last night. It was great to be among so many friends, including State Representative @SavannahLMaddox, in such a beautiful venue. pic.twitter.com/cb9gmSO4JR β€” Thomas Massie for Congress (@MassieforKY) April 11, 2026 Massie would have a real shot, given he remains quite popular in Kentucky - but he has an uphill battle in terms of reelection to Congress given Trump's political machine has turned against him. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 21:00

    - Tyler Durden

    Treasury, IRS Propose Rules For 1 Percent Remittance Tax On Some Money Sent To Foreign Countries Authored by Naveen Athrappully via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), The Internal Revenue Service and the Department of the Treasury proposed regulations on Friday regarding the new excise tax, established under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, on certain remittances made abroad. The Internal Revenue Service in Washington on March 10, 2025.Β Madalina Vasiliu/The Epoch Times β€œBeginning Jan. 1, 2026, a 1 percent remittance transfer tax applies to remittances sent from the United States to recipients in foreign countries when the sender provides cash, a money order, a cashier’s check, or other similar physical instrument to the remittance transfer provider,” the IRS said in an April 10 statement. β€œThe sender is liable for the tax, and remittance transfer providers are required to collect the remittance transfer tax from certain senders, make semimonthly deposits, and file quarterly returns with the IRS. If the remittance transfer provider does not collect the tax from the sender, the tax becomes a liability of the remittance transfer provider.” The proposed regulations clarify how the remittance transfer tax would be applied. According to the notice of the proposed rule, the remittance tax is applicable to all eligible transfers irrespective of whether the amount is actually disbursed to the designated recipient. In case a remittance transfer expires or is canceled and the remittance transfer provider refunds the amount to the sender, the sender can recoup the tax by filing a claim for refund with the IRS. The tax does not apply to any remittance transfer in which the funds come from a credit or debit card issued in the United States. It is also inapplicable if the funds being sent are withdrawn from an account held in a financial institution. Any amount that is ultimately transferred to a designated recipient will be taxed, the notice clarified. The rules affect remittance transfer providers, such as credit unions, banks, and money services businesses, as well as their agents. There are roughly 600 money services businesses licensed as money transmitters in the United States, out of which more than 200 operate through around 500,000 authorized agents, the IRS said, citing data from the Nationwide Multistate Licensing System. Between 2019 and 2024, money transfers to domestic and foreign destinations via money services businesses increased from $1.3 to $4 trillion. β€œMoney transmitted to foreign destinations (remittance transfers) accounted for 9 to 25 percent of the total money transmissions, equaling $236 billion in 2019, growing to almost $1 trillion in 2021 and 2022, but decreasing to $365 billion in 2024,” the notice said. β€œOver 2019–2024, annual remittance transfers to foreign destinations through [money service businesses] averaged $520 billion. The average individual money transfer size ranged from $290 to $740 over the same time period.” The IRS said in its statement that remittance transfer providers must report the new remittance transfer tax via Form 720. In an Oct. 7 statement, the IRS said that limited penalty relief will be available for remittance transfer providers who fail to deposit the collected remittance taxes in the first three quarters of this year. β€œTreasury and the IRS understand there might be challenges implementing the new law and have determined it is in the interest of sound tax administration to provide limited penalty relief related to remittance transfer tax deposits,” the agency said. Tax Impacts In a July 1 report, the Center for Global Development said that even at 1 percent, the remittance tax would hit poor countries β€œhard.” The new tax not only raises costs by 1 percent but can also lead to a dip in remittances. Mexico stands to lose the most due to the tax imposition, with the loss being more than $1.5 billion per year, the report said. Other nations majorly affected by the tax include India, China, Vietnam, Guatemala, the Dominican Republic, and El Salvador. β€œCentral American countries are projected to suffer the greatest loss relative to their gross national income (GNI), with El Salvadorβ€”a close ally of the Trump administrationβ€”projected to lose the equivalent of 0.6 percent of GNI,” the report said. β€œWhere the effects of the tax are significant relative to GNI, countries could experience lower household incomes, weaker consumer demand, and increased exchange rate pressures.” The Federation for American Immigration Reform blamed remittances for causing the United States’ economy to lose at least $200 billion per year, according to a July 22 report. This amount is more than enough to run the Department of Homeland Security and the State Department combined. It is also four times the amount spent on the Department of Justice. β€œRemittances represent a substantial loss to the U.S. economy. The money that is sent out of the United States is money that is not spent on goods and services in the United States,” the report said. β€œThe loss of money remitted also means no benefits from the sales, excise, and restaurant taxes, etc. attached to those goods and services. Indeed, remittances carry a significant opportunity cost.” Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 19:50

    - Tyler Durden

    Trump Eyes Limited Iran Strikes, Hormuz Blockade After Peace Talks Collapse Summary Trump weighs limited strikes on IranΒ  CENTCOM confirms blockade to begin at 1000ET Monday morning and will only impact Iran-related vessels President Trump begins blockading the Strait of Hormuz, warns US military will "finish up the little that is left of Iran" Door for diplomacy remains open, WSJ reports:Β Regional countries are racing to bring the U.S. and Iran back to the negotiating table after marathon peace talks in Islamabad ended without a deal The US delegation in Islamabad delivered the following six "red lines" to Iran: 1) End all uranium enrichment; 2) Dismantle all major nuclear enrichment facilities; 3) Retrieve highly enriched uranium; 4) Accept a broader peace, security and de-escalation framework that includes regional allies; 5) End funding for terrorist proxies Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis;Β 6) Fully open the Strait of Hormuz, charging no tolls for passage 2 Supertankers U-turn after peace deal talks fail UAE Oil Chief warns Iran blocking HormuzΒ is "a direct threat to the energy, food and health security of every nation" The odds of a peace deal by the end of the ceasefire period have improved modestly today but remain down significantly from pre-talks... Trump Weighs Limited Strikes On IranΒ  Brent crude futures are up 7.5% to around $102 per barrel, while S&P 500 futures traded down about 1% after President Trump ordered the U.S. military to impose a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, beginning Monday morning. A Wall Street Journal report indicates that President Trump is weighing limited strikes on high-value Iranian assets to break the stalemate in peace talks.Β  The report continued: That is among the options that Trump was considering Sunday, hours after negotiations collapsed in Pakistan, the officials said. Trump could also resume a full-fledged bombing campaign, though officials said that was less likely given the prospect of further destabilizing the region and the president's aversion to prolonged military conflicts. He could also seek a more temporary blockade while he pressures allies to take responsibility for a prolonged military escort mission through the strait in the future. U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks in Pakistan ended late Saturday without an agreement. These periods generally allow both sides to restock weapons and prepare for the next phase of fighting. OSINT (Open Source Intelligence) accounts on X are reporting a steady stream of U.S. Air Force cargo jets heading to the Middle East late Sunday. The amount of US airforce transports heading to the Middle East tonight is insane. Something is definitely up... pic.twitter.com/mhFYl6UA6T β€” WarMonitorπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ (@WarMonitor3) April 12, 2026 "My advice to the White House folks I've spoken to is secure the strait at any cost and immediately as a matter of economic and national and global security," said Steve Moore, a former economic adviser to Trump, who was quoted by the WSJ. Moore noted, "We have the power to protect the flow of international trade and must use it. Or the whole world economy could tumble into a global recession." Fred Fleitz, a senior National Security Council official during Trump's first term, told the outlet that Iran's large delegation to Islamabad showed that a diplomatic solution is possible. "I think Trump's right, Iran is out of cards," Fleitz said. "This conflict has only been going on for a few weeks. It's too early to know how this will come out, but I think it looks promising." CENTCOM Says Blockade Will Begin Monday Morning at 1000ET U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces will begin implementing a blockade of all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports on April 13 at 10 a.m. ET, according to a statement on X. CENTCOM provided some further clarification regarding who will be blocked, in accordance with President Trump's earlier proclamation. Specifically, they are only (and impartially) blocking any vessel leaving or entering an Iranian port... The blockade will be enforced impartially against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports on the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman. But, vessels from non-Iranian ports are free to transit the Strait CENTCOM forces will not impede freedom of navigation for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz to and from non-Iranian ports. Now the fun begins. Iran Says It Won't Allow Blockade Of Hormuz Strait, But Room For Diplomacy Remains As the US failed to open the Strait of Hormuz, it is also β€œdoomed to fail in a naval blockade,” Iran’s military adviser to the supreme leader, Mohsen Rezaee, said in a post on X. Iran’s armed forces β€œwill not allow America to do so and have great untapped leverage to counter it,” he adds. β€œIran is not a place to be surrounded by tweets and imaginary plans.” However, despite defiant statements from the U.S. and Iran, The Wall Street Journal reports that, according toΒ regional officials familiar with the matter said,Β the door remains open for further diplomacy and a second round of talks could be held within days.Β Regional countries were also in consultation with the U.S. to secure an extension of the fragile two-week ceasefire period announced late Tuesday, they said.Β  The Islamabad talks were the highest-level face-to-face meeting between American and Iranian leaders since 1979. The main sticking points, said the officials, were reopening the Strait of Hormuz without collecting fees, the fate of Iran’s highly enriched uranium, and Iran’s demand that about $27 billion in frozen revenues held abroad be released.Β Iranian officials have presented counterproposals to continue to enrich token amounts or curtail its stockpile of enriched uranium, but the two sides were unable to reach a compromise, the officials said. Trump's 6 Red Lines Fox News reports that Vice President Vance’s final offer delivered to the Iranian delegation in Islamabad includes the following "red lines." End all uranium enrichment Dismantle all major nuclear enrichment facilitiesΒ  Retrieve highly enriched uraniumΒ  Accept a broader peace, security and de-escalation framework that includes regional allies End funding for terrorist proxies Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis Fully open the Strait of Hormuz, charging no tolls for passage Needless to say, Iran refused to agree.Β  President Trump Begins Blockading Strait Of Hormuz President Trump said the US would blockade the Strait of Hormuz following the collapse of peace talks with Iran in Islamabad this weekend. β€œEffective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz,” Trump said in a social media post. In a pair of lengthy social media posts, Trump first explained the situation in the Strait... Iran promised to open the Strait of Hormuz, and they knowingly failed to do so. This caused anxiety, dislocation, and pain to many people and Countries throughout the World. They say they put mines in the water, even though all of their Navy, and most of their β€œmine droppers,” have been completely blown up. They may have done so, but what ship owner would want to take the chance? There is great dishonor and permanent harm to the reputation of Iran, and what’s left of their β€œLeaders,” but we are beyond all of that. As they promised, they better begin the process of getting this INTERNATIONAL WATERWAY OPEN AND FAST! Every Law in the book is being violated by them. I have been fully debriefed by Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner, on the meeting that took place in Islamabad through the kind and very competent leadership of Field Marshal Asim Munir, and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, of Pakistan. They are very extraordinary men, and continuously thank me for saving 30 to 50 million lives in what would have been a horrendous War with India. I always appreciate hearing that β€” The amount of Humanity spoken of is incomprehensible. Before discussing the outcome of the talks: The meeting with Iran began early in the morning, and lasted throughout the night β€” Close to 20 hours. I could go into great detail, and talk about much that has been gotten but, there is only one thing that matters β€” IRAN IS UNWILLING TO GIVE UP ITS NUCLEAR AMBITIONS! In many ways, the points that were agreed to are better than us continuing our Military Operations to conclusion, but all of those points don’t matter compared to allowing Nuclear Power to be in the hands of such volatile, difficult, unpredictable people. My three Representatives, as all of this time went by, became, not surprisingly, very friendly and respectful of Iran’s Representatives, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, Abbas Araghchi, and Ali Bagheri, but that doesn’t matter because they were very unyielding as to the single most important issue and, as I have always said, right from the beginning, and many years ago, IRAN WILL NEVER HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON! Trump noted that talks went well... until they didn't... "So, there you have it, the meeting went well, most points were agreed to, but the only point that really mattered, NUCLEAR, was not." The US president is hopeful... At some point, we will reach an β€œALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO IN, ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO OUT” basis, but Iran has not allowed that to happen by merely saying, β€œThere may be a mine out there somewhere,” that nobody knows about but them. But then came the threats, with Trump apparently widening his purview to international waters: THIS IS WORLD EXTORTION, and Leaders of Countries, especially the United States of America, will never be extorted. I have also instructed our Navy to seek and interdict every vessel in International Waters that has paid a toll to Iran. No one who pays an illegal toll will have safe passage on the high seas. We will also begin destroying the mines the Iranians laid in the Straits. Any Iranian who fires at us, or at peaceful vessels, will be BLOWN TO HELL! And the art of the deal... Escalate to De-Escalate... how long can Iran last with no oil revenues at all? Iran knows, better than anyone, how to END this situation which has already devastated their Country. Their Navy is gone, their Air Force is gone, their Anti Aircraft and Radar are useless, Khomeini, and most of their β€œLeaders,” are dead, all because of their Nuclear ambition. The Blockade will begin shortly. Other Countries will be involved with this Blockade. Iran will not be allowed to profit off this Illegal Act of EXTORTION. They want money and, more importantly, they want Nuclear. Additionally and, at an appropriate moment, we are fully β€œLOCKED AND LOADED,” and our Military will finish up the little that is left of Iran! Trump's decision follows his re-tweeting of this story from JustTheNews.com, suggesting that he couldΒ reprise his successful Venezuela blockade strategy to choke an already teetering Iranian economy and ratchet up diplomatic pressure on China and India by cutting them off one of their key sources of oil. Ironically, the massive USS Gerald Ford carrier that led the Venezuelan blockade is now in the Persian Gulf after a brief hiatus for repairs and crew rest after a deadly fire. And now it joins the USS Abraham Lincoln and other major naval assets. In short, Trump simply could out-blockade Iran’s hold over the Strait of Hormuz, experts said. On Sunday, the president confirmed that he is proceeding with a blockade.Β  β€œIt would be very easy for the US Navy to exert complete control over what does and does not go up and down the Strait now,” the Lexington Institute’s national security expert Rebecca Grant told Just the News. β€œI've heard about 10 ships have moved in the last 24 hours. One of them was a reflagged Russian tanker, and we know that cargos have gone out to China, to India, and we've seen some inbound traffic. β€œIf Iran gets intransigent, then absolutely, the US Navy can set up with great overwater surveillance … and watch everything that goes in and out of that Strait and you'll have to ask the US Navy if you want to move past Kharg Island or past that narrow part by Oman,” she added. Iran’s semi-official media cited β€œexcessive” US demands, while the foreign ministry said it was natural that differences wouldn’t be resolved in a single round of talks, leaving the door open for more discussions. A month ago we wondered... If Iran is blocking and attacking US ships, why is the US allowing sanctioned Iranian tankers to cross the strait with Chinese oil? β€” zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 12, 2026 ...and now we have an answer.Β  The question is - how will the UAE oil chief deal with a US closure versus an Iranian closure? China will certainly be pissed off as their tankers were flowing relatively freely until now. Is the US endgame to take control of another chokepoint too... Attempted Boarding of Commercial Ship in Bab el-Mandeb StraitΒ  United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations reported that a "sailing vessel" was approached by a small boat carrying 10 to 12 people, several of them heavily armed with automatic weapons, in what appeared to be an attempted boarding. "The Master deployed a flare and the skiff turned away and departed to the southeast," UKMTO wrote in an advisory posted on X about the maritime incident near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, another critical chokepoint that Iran-aligned Houthi rebels have threatened to close in recent weeks. 2 Supertankers U-Turn In Strait After Peace Talks End Without A Deal The marathon peace talks this weekend in Islamabad between Iranian negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Vice President JD Vance, and other officials ended without a deal. Still, the top Iranian negotiator signaled that the door remains open for future talks. Polymarket odds of a peace deal being signed this month collapsed late Saturday. //--> //--> US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? Yes 16% Β· No 85%View full market & trade on PolymarketAhead of the weekend peace talks, three fully loaded supertankers carrying Iraqi and Saudi crude safely transited the Strait of Hormuz. But after U.S.-Iran negotiations ended without a deal late Saturday, two separate empty supertankers abruptly turned around at the mouth of the chokepoint rather than enter the Persian Gulf. The exact reason for the U-turns of the two supertankers remains unclear, especially since Iraq and Pakistan had reportedly received Iranian transit approvals. However, the reversals clearly coincide with the breakdown in negotiations, highlighting just how quickly conditions on the strait can change. UAE Oil Chief Warns "Illegal, Dangerous, & Unacceptable" For Iran To Close Strait On Sunday morning, as vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained muted, Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, ADNOC's managing director and group CEO and one of the most influential people in global energy markets, wrote on X: "The Strait of Hormuz has never been Iran's to close or restrict." Al Jaber continued, "Any attempt to do so is not a regional issue; it is the disruption of a global economic lifeline and a direct threat to the energy, food and health security of every nation." "Setting such a precedent is illegal, dangerous, and unacceptable. The world simply cannot afford it and must not allow it," he concluded in the X post. Since February 28: * At least 22 ships have been attacked * 10 crew members have been killed * Around 20,000 seafarers are unable to transit safely * An estimated 800 commercial vessels are stranded, including almost 400 tankers The Strait of Hormuz has never been Iran’s to… β€” Dr. Sultan Al Jaber (@SultanAlJaber) April 12, 2026 On Saturday, the U.S. Department of War confirmed that two U.S. warships transited the waterway to begin marine mine-clearing operations. Only a handful of ships have transited the strait this weekend. Polymarket odds for vessel traffic returning to "normal" by the end of April plunged this weekend from 30% to 17%. //--> //--> Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Yes 17% Β· No 83%View full market & trade on PolymarketUS Becomes World's 'Gas Station Of Last Resort' Disruptions at Gulf energy facilities and the continued paralysis across the Hormuz chokepoint led us early in the U.S.-Iran conflict to conclude that global energy flows were being rewired, whether temporarily or over the medium term, with energy exporters in the Gulf of America emerging as a potential net beneficiary. Energy Dominance πŸ€‘πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ https://t.co/efoG6JzTap pic.twitter.com/PO70X9OI1V β€” Brandie with a 🐝 (@BrandieWithABee) April 12, 2026 In fact, the latest vessel-tracking data transmitted via the Automatic Identification System, supplied by Bloomberg, show that it is quite possible that America has become the world's emergency gas station. What appears increasingly clear after this weekend's Islamabad talks is that Tehran refused to surrender any leverage around the Hormuz chokepoint. That posture only suggests to us that Tehran understands the chokepoint remains one of the last leverage points.Β  * * * Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 19:20

    - Tyler Durden

    All High Earners Need To Know About The Mega Backdoor Roth Authored by Javier Simon via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), If done the right way, a mega backdoor Roth can allow investors to save in a workplace retirement plan such as a 401(k) beyond the typical contribution limits. High earners can use a mega backdoor Roth to save beyond normal retirement contribution limits. Vyaseleva Elena/Shutterstock It also can allow investors to save in a Roth account when they otherwise would not have been able to do so because of certain restrictions. So let’s take a closer look at this complex, but potentially beneficial strategy for high earners. What Is a Mega Backdoor Roth? The mega backdoor Roth is a strategy that involves making after-tax contributions to a 401(k) and then making a conversion of those contributions into either a Roth IRA or Roth 401(k). Many people take the mega backdoor Roth approach because they can’t contribute to a Roth IRA due to income limits, or they’ve already maxed out their traditional 401(k) via salary deferrals and want to make additional contributions. In 2026, you can’t contribute to a Roth IRA at all if your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) is $168,000 as a single filer or $252,000 if married and filing jointly. How Does a Mega Backdoor Roth Work? If your plan administrator allows it, you can make after-tax contributions to your traditional 401(k) and then convert those contributions to a Roth IRA via an in-service distribution. Or, if the plan allows it, you can convert those after-tax contributions into a Roth 401(k) portion of the plan. The key here is after-tax contributions. After-tax 401(k) contributions are different from Roth 401(k) contributions and pretax contributions, which are associated with traditional 401(k)s. But after-tax contributions may allow you to contribute to a workplace retirement plan like a 401(k) beyond the annual contribution limits for pretax and Roth contributions. So let’s take a close look at these contribution limits for 2026. You can contribute up to $24,500 in pretax and/or Roth contributions to your 401(k) if you’re under the age of 50. Because of catch-up contributions, those aged 50 or older can contribute up to $32,500. If your plan allows for super catch-up contributions, those between the ages of 60 and 63 can contribute up to $35,750. But by factoring in after-tax contributions, those below age 50 may be able to save up to $72,000. Those between the ages of 50 to 59 or 64-plus can save up to $80,000. And those between the ages of 60 to 63 can save up to $83,250 if the plan allows super catch-up contributions. But any employer contributions would count toward these limits. Drawbacks to the Mega Backdoor Roth Taking the mega backdoor Roth route can leave you with a hefty tax bill. This is because when you make qualified withdrawals in retirement, any investment earnings would be taxed as ordinary income. And the earnings portion of the conversion into a Roth IRA would be subject to taxation at the time of the conversion. In addition, your capacity to make after-tax contributions could be restricted by IRS nondiscrimination rules that affect highly compensated employees. These rules may limit how much highly compensated employees can contribute compared to non-highly compensated employees. For 2026, you’re a highly-compensated employee if you made $160,000 or more in 2025 compensation, or if you owned more than 5 percent of the company at any time during the current or previous year. And some plans don’t allow after-tax contributions to be eligible for employer matches. And that brings us to one of the biggest downsides. Your plan administrator simply may not allow you to engage in the mega backdoor Roth strategy. Some employers won’t let you move money from the 401(k) and into a Roth IRA while you’re still employed by them. Or they may not allow you to transfer money from the after-tax portion of your plan into a Roth 401(k) part of the plan. So you need to contact your plan administrator or human resources department to learn what their rules are. The Bottom Line Many high earners face some barriers when it comes to contributing to a Roth account. But this is when the mega backdoor Roth can come into play. This is a strategy involving making after-tax contributions to a traditional 401(k) and converting those contributions into a Roth IRA or a Roth 401(k) within the plan. But there are a few obstacles; not all companies let you take these steps within their 401(k) or other type of workplace retirement plan. There also may be some important tax implications, and the overall process could be highly complex. That’s why you need to be interested enough to brush up on your plan’s rules and take the backdoor route approach the right way. So it’s highly recommended you engage in this strategy with the guidance of a qualified tax professional. The Epoch Times copyright Β© 2026. The views and opinions expressed are those of the authors. They are meant for general informational purposes only and should not be construed or interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation. The Epoch Times does not provide investment, tax, legal, financial planning, estate planning, or any other personal finance advice. The Epoch Times holds no liability for the accuracy or timeliness of the information provided. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 18:40

    - Tyler Durden

    Oil Jumps, Stocks Dump As Peace Talks Fail, Hormuz Blockade Looms Before the 'official' futures markets opened, the risk-off tone (due to the failed peace talks and Trump's threat to blockade Iranian vessels) was very evident in FX and crypto markets. Even given the usual caveats about thin liquidity,Β AUD/USD is down around 1%, a classic growth-sensitive barometer flashing warning signs, while EUR/USD is weaker by roughly 0.5%. The moves point to a softer tone for risk assets and sure enough bitcoin is down notably, but still up from pre-ceasefire levels... All eyes are of course on the oil marketsΒ where hyperliquid perps were signaling a major jump higher as traders react to peace talks falling apart over the weekend, and the US moving to blockade the Strait of Hormuz in response. WTI opened up over 8% surging back above $100 (topping $105)... European gas futures also surged more than 10% as the trading day for the product expanded to 21 hours, from 10 hours, on Monday. The timeline for the start of efforts to unwind the extreme supply shocks created by the war looks to be getting longer and longer.Β  And of course, as goes oil, so goes stocks etc... Since the war started, markets have increasingly taken their cues from crude prices given their far-reaching consequences. Surging energy costs have driven both the pullback in risk appetite as an immediate reaction to the conflict, as well as investors’ longer-term anticipation for a pickup in inflation and slowdown in consumption.Β  The extent of the divergence (between oil and stocks) has now surpassed levels seen in 2022.Β  But, even as the bond-stock-oil correlations started to creak on Friday... ...they are back in sync on this thin Sunday evening with S&P futures down over 1% for now... Treasury futures prices are down notably (implying around a 5bps jump in 10Y Yields)... The stronger dollar has pushed gold back down below $4700... Obviously, investors will continue to monitor Middle East tensions in the coming week, while monthly reports from OPEC and the IEA will add some insight into how the Iran war is affecting the oil market. Several major US banks are due to report earnings, where any commentary on the impact from the conflict will also be closely watched. US data releases include producer prices, industrial production and existing home sales, while the Fed’s Beige Book will offer additional color on the health of the economy. China is also due to report first-quarter GDP plus retail sales and industrial production data for March. As Morgan Stanley' Michael Wilson warned:Β The final phase of a correction is rarely easy and could require another re-test for markets, particularly if rates or bond volatility push higher again. It may be about to get more difficult again. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 18:00

    - Tyler Durden

    "Create A Crisis": American Association Of University Professors Sponsors Anti-ICE Campaign Authored by Jonathan Turley, β€œCreate a crisis.” That call is made in a new campaign sponsored by the American Association of University Professors to force β€œcolleges to drop their contracts with ICE’s key corporate enablers.” Despite years of criticism over the purging of faculty ranks of conservatives and libertarians, university professors continue to double down on far-left ideology that is now an orthodoxy in higher education. I previously wrote about the AAUP’s ideological shift in my book,Β The Indispensable Right: Free Speech in an Age of Rage. After that book, the AAUP thenΒ selected Todd Wolfson, a far-left activist, as its new president. Wolfson ran on the pledge to make AAUP a β€œfighting organization” for social change. After his selection, Wolfson hasΒ called Trump supporters β€œfascists” and demanded boycotts of Israel. Given that history, it was little surprise to see the AAUP’s sponsorship of this campaign, asΒ reportedΒ by the College Fix. The campaign isΒ also fundedΒ by Β Coefficient Giving, associated with liberal billionaire Dustin Moskovitz and his wife Cari Tuna. They have been criticized for reportedly funding groups pushing defund police and other radical agendas. AAUP joined this campaign with Young Democratic Socialists of America, Sunrise Movement, and the Workplace Justice Lab at Rutgers University. It includes aΒ toolkitΒ instructing students to β€œcreate a crisis for university admin through an escalating campaign.” The campaign seeks to organize to combat the β€œTrump regime” and its β€œterrorism”: β€œWhen students and workers join together in action, we can force our schools to stop funding and normalizing ICE collaborators and take down the whole regime.” They are targeting companies such as Enterprise, Flock, ICE Air Carriers, Hilton, and Target. The campaign states further that β€œICE, and the Trump regime generally, cannot function without the consent and collaboration of the business world. Breaking companies from ICE is the central axis for generating enough leverage to stop the regime’s terrorization campaign.” So university professors are funding a campaign that actively seeks to create a crisis on campuses. It takes a position as an organization that immigration enforcement is a form of terrorism. The silence among faculty is deafening. Rather than objecting that the AAUP should focus on issues related to academic freedom and protections for its members, there have been virtually no objections to the organization’s ideological agenda. It is evidence of the new orthodoxy in higher education and the refusal of administrators and faculty to make any meaningful change in their intolerance for opposing views. Many departments no longer have a single RepublicanΒ faculty member in this academic echo chamber. A GeorgetownΒ studyΒ found that only 9% of law school professors at the top 50 law schools identify as conservative β€” almost identical to the percentage of Trump voters in the new poll. There is little evidence that faculty members are interested in changing this culture or creating greater diversity at schools.Β  In places like North Carolina State University, aΒ studyΒ found that Democrats outnumbered Republicans 20 to 1. Yale University hasΒ finally achievedΒ the academic version of Nirvana, a state of perfect peace and enlightenment. A recent study found that the faculty had finally purged every Republican donor from its ranks. According to aΒ recent reportΒ from the Buckley Institute, there is now not a single Republican found across 27 of 43 departments at Yale University. In a nation roughly evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats (withΒ a slight advantage to the GOP), only 3 percent are Republicans across all Yale departments. The hostility to opposing views is impacting our students. AΒ new study offers additional dataΒ on this problem, showing that almost 90% of students misrepresent their views in class and on assignments to satisfy faculty by adopting more liberal views. In the meantime, the small number of dissenting faculty have no real voice, particularly among legal academics. I haveΒ previously writtenΒ about the similar liberal agenda of the American Bar Association despite plunging membership among lawyers. The ABA now represents just 17 percent of the bar. The AAUP currently has only 44,000 to 45,00 members. There are an estimated 1.5 million university and college professors in the United States. Both the ABA and AAUP have become captive to the most ideological elements of their membership. That agenda has overwhelmed the original apolitical mission of these groups. This orthodoxy will continue until donors refuse to support universities that do not take meaningful action to restore diversity in the faculty ranks. The AAUP’s radical agenda is only the latest example of how higher education remains a hardened ideological silo. These faculty members have shown again and again that they are unwilling to change this culture. Only donors can force reform by cutting off their contributions or directing them to schools with a proven commitment to intellectual diversity. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 17:30

    - Tyler Durden

    Massachusetts Dems Advance Bill To Limit How Far You Can Drive In Your Own Car Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news, Massachusetts lawmakers are barreling ahead with a bill that would force the state to slash the total miles residents drive, all under the banner of cutting greenhouse gas emissions. The proposal, Senate Bill S.2246, doesn’t slap a hard cap on your daily commute… yet – but itΒ ordersΒ the Massachusetts Department ofΒ TransportationΒ (MassDOT) to set binding goals for reducing statewide vehicle miles traveled (VMT). It also creates a new government council tasked with pushing people onto public transit whether they like it or not. WOW 🚨 Massachusetts Democrats preparing to limit how much you can drive your car Instead of driving your car, a new council will be established to make sure residents use more public transportation β€œThe bill proposed in Massachusetts would limit how far you can drive in your… pic.twitter.com/D8goGLwqzo β€” Wall Street Apes (@WallStreetApes) April 12, 2026 A local Boston report highlights the move: β€œThe bill proposed in Massachusetts would limit how far you can drive in your own car. So lawmakers say it would help reduce the state’s greenhouse gas emissions. Now, while no specific mileage limit wasΒ listed, the bill would require MassDOT to set goals to reduce the number of statewide driving miles. It would also establish a new council to find ways to make publicΒ transportationΒ more accessible for residents. Now, critics say A cap on personal vehicle miles would directly impact those in rural parts of the state.” The committee gave it a favorable 4-1 vote and shipped it to the Senate Ways and Means Committee, keeping the radical plan alive on Beacon Hill. This isn’t some fringe idea cooked up in isolation. It’s part of a broader push to ration mobility under the twin excuses of β€œclimate” and β€œequity.” Similar thinking powers the 15-minute city concept – the urban planning fad sold as β€œconvenience” but designed to make driving anywhere outside your little neighborhood a bureaucratic nightmare. Need to visit family across town or haulΒ suppliesΒ for a business? Too bad. The goal is fewer cars, fewer miles, and more dependence on government-run transit that’s already unreliable and crime-ridden in blue cities. Europe is already testing the waters with energy rationing talk amid ongoing crises. Officials have floated work-from-home mandates, driving restrictions, and even limits on flying or heating homes to meet net-zero targets. Massachusetts Democrats are importing that same top-down control in America, where rural families, tradespeople, and anyone notΒ luckyΒ enough to live in a walkable Boston enclave get punished hardest. Supporters dress it up as β€œaligningΒ transportationΒ plans with emissions goals.” The bill’s own text demands the state develop a β€œreasonable pathway” to cut VMT through everything from denser development to parking restrictions and tech-enabled tracking. Critics rightly call it what it is: a precursor toΒ surveillance, fees, or outright limits on how far your personal vehicle can go. This is the same crowd that cheered COVID lockdowns while elites jetted off to climate conferences. Now they’re eyeing your car as the next target. Rural Massachusetts residents already face long drives for work, groceries, and medical care. Forcing them onto broken public buses or trains isn’t β€œprogress” – it’s punishment for not living the approved urban lifestyle. This creepingΒ surveillanceΒ state is an affront to freedom, including the personal freedom to drive where you want, when you want, in the vehicle you choose. Massachusetts Democrats just proved again why voters are fleeing blue strongholds for red states that still respect individual liberty. If this passes, expect more families packing up and heading to places where the government doesn’t treat your car like public property. The fight against these soft tyrannies is on. Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating viaΒ LocalsΒ or check out our uniqueΒ merch. Follow us on XΒ @ModernityNews. * * * Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 16:20

    - Tyler Durden

    An Actual Smart Fix: How Waymo And Waze Are Tackling Potholes In San Francisco A smart new approach to fixing road issues is taking shape in San Franciscoβ€”and honestly, it’s finally a good idea.Β  Waymo, known for putting driverless cars on city streets, is now teaming up with Waze to help identify potholes. Using data from its self-driving vehicles, Waymo can detect rough road conditions and automatically flag them in the Waze app, according to a new report from NBC.Β  Drivers using Waze can already see these reported potholes, but the bigger impact comes from Waze’s β€œWaze for Cities” program. Thousands of cities use it to collect real-time road hazard data, giving local agencies a clearer picture of where repairs are needed. The report notes that San Francisco officials say this won’t replace existing systems like 311 reports, but it adds another valuable layer of information. Crews still aim to fix major issues within a few days, while also making sure all neighborhoodsβ€”not just high-traffic areasβ€”get equal attention. This kind of tech-driven system actually makes a lot of sense. Bringing something like this to places like New Jersey or New York could seriously improve how quickly and fairly road repairs get handled. Before partnering with Waymo, Waze had already developed a crowd-sourced approach to identifying road hazards like potholes. Drivers using the app could manually report issues in real time, tagging exact GPS locations of potholes, debris, or rough road conditions, which were then shared with other users to improve routing and safety. Over time, Waze also leveraged passive dataβ€”such as repeated sudden decelerations or erratic vehicle movement patternsβ€”to infer the presence of road irregularities without explicit reports. This combination of active user input and behavioral data allowed Waze to build a dynamic, continuously updated map of road quality, laying the groundwork for more automated detection methods later explored in collaborations with autonomous driving systems. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 15:55

    - Tyler Durden

    OrbΓ‘n Concedes: 16-Year Fidesz Rule Collapses In Historic Hungarian Landslide In a stunning collapse that ends 16 years of uninterrupted rule, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor OrbΓ‘n has conceded defeat in Sunday’s parliamentary elections, according to statements from opposition leader PΓ©ter Magyar. With early results showing the Tisza Party on track for 128 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly and Fidesz collapsing to just 62 seats (based on more than 21% of votes counted), OrbΓ‘n’s long-dominant alliance has suffered a decisive repudiation. Four years after securing a supermajority of 135 seats, Fidesz is projected to fall well short of even a simple majority. Hungary Election Update (21:12 CET) Official NVI count (21.54% processed): πŸ”Ή Tisza (Magyar): 56.4% (128 seats) πŸ”Έ Fidesz (OrbΓ‘n): 37.8% (62 seats) πŸ“ˆ Turnout: Record 77.8% Magyar holding a steady lead as counting continues. πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί #HungaryElection #Magyar #OrbΓ‘n β€” Mandolin Rain (@Mandolin__Rain) April 12, 2026 The concession, delivered as vote tallies continued to roll in with record 77.8% turnout, marks the first time in the post-communist era that OrbΓ‘n’s Fidesz has lost control of parliament. It validates the dire warning OrbΓ‘n himself issued just days ago in his final campaign rally: β€œWe could now lose everything.” PΓ©ter Magyar, the 43-year-old former Fidesz insider who rocketed Tisza from fringe movement to projected governing force in under two years, hailed the moment as a turning point for Hungary. β€œToday the Hungarian people have chosen change,” Magyar told supporters in Budapest. β€œOrbΓ‘n has conceded. A new era begins.” The scale of the upset is seismic. Tisza appears headed not only for a simple majority (requiring 100 seats) but potentially the two-thirds supermajority (133 seats) needed to rewrite cardinal laws and amend the constitution β€” the very tools OrbΓ‘n used to entrench his β€œilliberal democracy” model. What the Numbers Mean Tisza: ~128 seats (and climbing as more precincts report) Fidesz: ~62 seats Previous election (2022): Fidesz 135 seats Urban centers, younger voters, and economically frustrated middle-class families drove the surge, while Fidesz held rural strongholds. The opposition’s consolidation under Magyar β€” a center-right, pro-EU, anti-corruption platform β€” proved decisive after years of fragmented resistance. Immediate Geopolitical Shockwaves The result upends the European political landscape: Brussels truce: Frozen EU funds (over €20 billion) are now expected to flow again. Hungary’s systematic vetoes on Ukraine aid, migration policy, and rule-of-law mechanisms are likely to end. Ukraine/Russia pivot: OrbΓ‘n’s pro-peace, Russia-friendly stance - including delays on sanctions and energy deals - will almost certainly be reversed. Populist right in freefall: The defeat delivers a body blow to Europe’s nationalist movements. Marine Le Pen, Matteo Salvini, and Germany’s AfD lose their strongest Central European anchor. Donald Trump’s recent endorsement of OrbΓ‘n as a β€œstrong leader” and JD Vance’s pre-election Budapest visit now look like backing the wrong horse. Markets react: Early trading signals suggest a stronger forint and narrowing sovereign spreads as investors price in EU reconciliation and policy normalization. OrbΓ‘n, 62, has not yet issued a personal statement, but sources close to Fidesz say he will address the nation later today. The party retains pockets of deep loyalty, particularly among older voters and in the countryside, but the scale of the urban and youth revolt proved overwhelming. Official final results are still days away (including overseas and mail-in ballots), but with OrbΓ‘n’s concession the political reality is already set: Hungary’s voters have delivered a verdict that will reverberate across Europe and the global populist movement for years. This is a breaking story. ZeroHedge will update as OrbΓ‘n speaks and final tallies come in. * * * Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 15:32

    - Tyler Durden

    Decades-Long Study Blows Up Narrative That 'Gender Reassignment' Prevents Suicide Authored by Tim O'Brien via PJ Media, One of the most common talking points from the left is that if you don’t rush confused kids into the gender reassignment pipeline, they will kill themselves. The left tells us that β€œtransgenderism” is not a mental health problem, while at the same time telling us that people, especially minors, will kill themselves at greater rates if steps aren’t quickly taken to get those kids on puberty blockers, and on track to have their bodies permanently mutilated to change their sex.Β  AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin More to the point, the narrative goes like this: β€œTrans kids” are at higher risk of suicide if they don’t receive greater acceptance, supportive environments, and β€œaccess” to β€œgender-affirming care.”  Did it ever occur to the left that the suicide in these cases may be connected to the increased likelihood that gender-confused children have severe mental health instability? Did it ever occur to the left that a pre-existing mental health issue, not the gender issue, is what may contribute to the risk of suicide?Β  I’ve looked at a bunch of studies the left uses to justify this narrative, and one thing goes overlooked, which is the difference between correlation and causation. In other words, if someone doesn’t call a teenager by her trans name, is that the cause of her later suicide? Or was it something else, and the "misgendering" was just a convenient scapegoat?Β  And so, when researchers studied the relationship "between chosen name use, as a proxy for youths' gender affirmation in various contexts, and mental health among transgender youth," did they just assume that the trigger for later β€œhealth risks” was due to how they were addressed by name, or were all possible causes considered?Β  Kids who are confused about their gender are likely confused about a lot of things, and it could be that it’s this state of confusion and a general struggle with reality that is the more fundamental problem. But if researchers only key in on how those boys and girls are addressed, they can come to any conclusions that suit them. Destroying a common myth Don’t take my word for it. Researchers in Finland published a groundbreaking study in the peer-reviewed pediatric journal Acta Paediatrica, which pretty much destroyed the notion that β€œgender reassignment” surgeries and treatments help gender-confused kids.Β  According to the study, the surgeries and treatments may, in fact, be making things worse.Β  β€œIn some individuals, medical GR [gender reassignment] appears to be linked to deterioration in mental health,” the study found. β€œSubsequent to medical GR, psychiatric treatment needs appear to increase.”  In other words, the surgeries and puberty blockers may be hurting the children they purport to help, and even then, the kids’ needs for psychiatric treatment for mental health problems only increase.Β  Let’s dig deeper: β€œAmong adolescents who underwent medical gender reassignment, psychiatric morbidity increased markedly during follow-up,” the study found. If that euphemism is sufficiently confusing to you, β€œpsychiatric morbidity” in this context is suicide, eating disorders, depression, and other serious mental health problems. Β  The title of the study is β€œPsychiatric Morbidity Among Adolescents and Young Adults Who Contacted Specialised Gender Identity Services in Finland in 1996–2019,” which itself emphasizes that this is an analysis of real-world data, not just some carefully constructed sample to study. And the time period for the study spanned 25 years. You would think that if you take a deep dive into 25 years of real-world data, you might get a clear picture of the issues at play and what’s really happening.Β  During that period, the percentage of males wanting to become female jumped from 9.8% in 1996 to 60.7% in 2019. This stat alone kills the β€œborn this way” assumption. As Finland’s culture has shifted aggressively leftward, more boys want to be girls. This suggests that the β€œtrans kids” dynamic is a social contagion.Β  On the female side, the number of girls wanting to become boys from 1996 to 2019 jumped from 21.6% to 54.5%.Β  Here’s a look under the hood of the data. The study authors analyzed data from β€œa total of 2,083 individuals under the age of 23, who received β€˜specialized gender identity services’” at hospitals over time.Β  Finland has a nationalized, centralized health care system, which means that this data is pretty comprehensive and a reflection of what is actually happening in that country. Β  The big news coming out of this research is that adolescents who were referred to specialist transgender services β€œshowed significantly higher psychiatric morbidity than controls,” with 45.7% having mental health issues before referral, compared to 15.0% among the control population. This means the mental health problems were a pre-existing condition.Β  Two years or more after referral to the system for β€œgender affirmation,” 61.7% of the gender dysphoric population had mental health issues, compared to only 14.6% of the control population. At the same time, the data revealed that the proportion of teenagers with mental health problems also rose by 35% after receiving a referral to specialist transgender services. If I’m reading this right, it would seem that any kid in Finland who turned to the healthcare community for help with gender dysphoria issues likely found that his or her mental health problems got worse as a result.Β  Here’s the kicker. Because not every kid who entered the system went through with the whole program, the researchers were able to measure how many kids who opted out of puberty blockers and sex change surgeries fared psychologically as a result. Β  The study found that teens who decided not to receive hormonal or surgical treatments enjoyed better mental health outcomes. The rate of mental health challenges increased by a much lesser amount. That puts the kibosh on the whole rationale for transing the kids.Β  If a kid is confused over his or her gender, and you don’t give them puberty blockers, and you don’t push surgeries on them, you’re more likely to have a kid with better mental health in the end. Β  But if you do put them on the hormonal treatment track and the surgery track, the chances of the child having compounded mental health problems increase.Β  Common sense wins The bottom line is that common sense wins every time. Tragically, there are still hospitals, mental health professionals, school counselors, and parents who want to irreversibly change a child’s mental and physical make-up to solve what amounts to a very treatable mental health problem at a key stage of their adolescent growth and maturation process.Β  The left likes to lecture the right to β€œfollow the science,” but this science will be buried if the left has anything to do with it. The left wants gender-confused children. The left wants to "trans kids." Speaking of β€œtrans kids,” how did that even become a thing?Β How does a childΒ knowΒ he or she is, in fact, the opposite sex in the wrong body?Β That can only come as part of a very sophisticated, manipulative process that certain segments of society are foisting on the kids to corrupt them.Β  It’s time to put an end to this. The more irrefutable data we have that cannot be suppressed, the more likely we’ll be able to look after the most vulnerable among us and protect them from β€œgender affirming” destruction.Β  Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 15:10

    - Tyler Durden

    President Trump Faces Renewed Backlash As Trump-Linked Tokens Crash Authored by Vince Quill via CoinTelegraph.com, United States President Donald Trump is facing renewed scrutiny as crypto tokens and projects touted by the US president crash to all-time lows or sit near record low levels. The Official Trump token (TRUMP), a memecoin pushed by Trump, hit an all-time low of about $2.73 in March 2026 and is currently trading at about $2.86, according toΒ dataΒ from CoinGecko. The TRUMP memecoin has plummeted in price since launching in January 2025. Source:Β CoinGecko The governance token issued by World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform co-founded by Trump’s sons,Β sunked to an all-time lowΒ of just $0.07 on Saturday. WLFI is down by nearly 75% from its all-time high of about $0.31 reached in September 2025, while the TRUMP memecoin is down by about 90% since its all-time high of over $73 reached in January 2025.Β  The WLFI token has crashed by nearly 75% since the all-time high reached in September 2025. Source:Β CoinMarketCap β€œWe thought Sam Bankman-Fried or Gary Gensler were the worst things to happen to the crypto industry, and they were horrible,” Professor Tonya EvansΒ saidΒ in response to the plummeting token prices. Evans, a board member at Grayscale parent DCG, added: β€œBut, turns out, it was the guy who surrounds himself with sycophants, siphons every bit of value he can for himself, and then expeditiously bankrupts companies and casinos without consequence.” President Trump also announced anotherΒ gala for token holders, scheduled to take place on April 25, fueling renewed scrutiny from US Democratic lawmakers, who haveΒ accused Trump of influence peddlingΒ by giving token holders access to him. US lawmakers send letter to Trump memecoin creator Senators Elizabeth Warren, Richard Blumenthal and Adam Schiff have asked Bill Zanker, the individual who launched the Trump memecoin, for details on the purpose of the planned Trump memecoin gala in April. The organizers of the event are β€œdangling access” to Trump, the lawmakers said, according toΒ Politico, which obtained a copy of the letter.Β  Trump and his family members stand to benefit from increased sales of the Trump memecoin; attendees are required to hold TRUMP tokens to gain access to the event, the Senators said. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 14:00

    - Tyler Durden

    FAA Greenlights Laser Sentry Guns To Combat Attack Drones In U.S. Airspace The Federal Aviation Administration has given the green light for the U.S. military to deploy high-energy counter-drone laser weapons in U.S. airspace, adding a new, low-cost layer of protection against the rising threat from kamikaze drones. The decision follows a two-month interagency standoff over whether the systems posed a risk to general aviation and commercial aircraft, as well as incidents in Texas earlier this year that briefly led to an airspace closure. FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford was quoted by The New York Times as saying the new laser weapon systems had completed a safety assessment that "determined that these systems do not present an increased risk to the flying public." The decision paves the way for broader use of these 20- to 35+-kilowatt-class laser weapon systems along the southern border to combat drug cartel drones and one-way attack drones. These threats have caused alarm at the highest levels in Washington, especially following the use of drones by Iran in the Gulf area to target data centers, civilian infrastructure, and U.S. military bases. The NYTimes provided more color on the FAA's decision:Β  The statement did not address whether the agency had determined that the high-energy lasers posed no physical risk to aircraft, or whether the safety determination was based on how the lasers were being deployed. But the F.A.A. determined that the risk would be minimal even if the laser came into contact with an airplane, according to an agency official who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive matter. The controversy surrounding these laser weapons stems from the February 10 incident when the FAA briefly closed airspace over El Paso after Border Patrol fired the weapon at an object that turned out to be a metallic balloon. With the interagency standoff over, the U.S. military has considered deploying these lasers in Washington, D.C., to combat low-cost, one-way attack drones. The core vulnerability across U.S. airspace is that a cheap, layered counter-drone system still does not exist, nor is one widely deployed around critical civilian infrastructure such as data centers, power plants, transmission substations, and other critical nodes across the modern economy, where even limited disruption could trigger localized or regional turmoil. The race to close that gap with low-cost systems is underway. We laid out this threat assessment one month before the US-Iran conflict. Now it's time for solutions. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 13:25

    - Tyler Durden

    More Than Just Iran By Peter Tchir of Academy Securities Without a doubt, trading at the start of the week will hinge on developments in the ongoing ceasefire negotiations. As Spider, Bret, and I discussed on Friday’s podcast the range of possible outcomes has not narrowed significantly. Anything from a serious deal, to walking away and restarting the attacks seems plausible. Spider β€œguffawed” at the comparison of Regime Change to Welcome Back Kotter – well, the names have all changed… You know we live in a weird world, where in less than a week, the President posting on Truth Social that a β€œcivilization will die tonight” barely registers as something to talk about. Academy will continue to stay in front of you this weekend and next week as the situation develops, but the podcast (and much of our writing from this week) remains relevant until we get a clear direction on the talks. So far it has been compared to two sides repeating their list of demands to each other, but at least they are communicating. More Than an Easter Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine? With all the attention focused on Iran, there are stories circulating that Russia and Ukraine could be heading towards something more lasting (while at the same time, there are concerns that even the limited Easter ceasefire won’t hold). Easter (for those following the Julian calendar) is this weekend, while for those following the Gregorian calendar, it was last weekend. Why could this war finally be headed towards a deal? Ukraine. Depending on the U.S. for big support has already seemed like a weak strategy. With the U.S. un-sanctioning Russian oil, it seems even more dangerous to tie your hopes to U.S. aid (also, the U.S. has been using up missiles in the fight in Iran, so will be less likely to want to ship military equipment elsewhere, until our stockpiles are replenished). Relying on Europe has always been difficult at best. The EU has not been prepared for war, and the framework of the EU makes it difficult to do anything major, quickly. For me, when Brussels vetoed the taking of Russia’s frozen reserves, I largely gave up on the EU. Russia. Given the two previous paragraphs, it would seem that Russia should be foaming at the mouth to increase attacks and not even be thinking about peace. But… From a β€œcarrot” perspective, this might be the easiest time for Russia to β€œease back” into the global economy. With sanctions already lifted, it might make sense to do a deal now and have those sanctions permanently lifted (politicians have an easier time maintaining the status quo, than changing it). Ukraine has a factory in the UK. Ukraine is working with some countries in the Gulf. We have already seen what asymmetric warfare can do against even the biggest, best, most well-prepared military in the world – and that is not what the Russian military is. If you are Russia, you may have to worry that Ukraine is getting better at drones. Also, while Russia and Ukraine largely kept away from infrastructure targets, those seem more likely to be on the table as attacks (and threats of attacks) on those targets moved the needleΒ  It would be a pleasant surprise to see some progress on this front. While it still seems unlikely, maybe we have finally reached the point where conditions on both sides warrant some sort of a deal. On Any Other Weekend This Would Be the Main Focus Stocks averages did so well this week that weakness in an important sector has been largely ignored. This ETF is comprised of some of the biggest, best β€œsoftware” brands in the world. Yet, while everything else was rallying this week, this ETF had its lowest close since 2023.Β The recent selling, at least in part, coincided with a new AI model, which also triggered an β€œemergency” banking meeting in D.C. What was interesting, and in direct contrast to the Barron’s article linked above, is that the CIBR (a cybersecurity-focused ETF) also did poorly (ending the week barely above its post Liberation Day lows). SOXX, a semiconductor ETF, had a great week. I continue to believe that as we near an end to the conflict in Iran, ProSec will once again take center stage, with domestic energy, electricity, and chip manufacturing as the focus. Having said that, the carnage in software seems like it should have broader implications for the market. Maybe it will once we have fewer β€œheadlines” about the Middle East. CONsumer CONfidence If the CON CON didn’t give it away (again), I am not a big fan of this data series. But two things struck me as interesting. Inflation expectations for 5 to 10 years out remained β€œanchored” coming in at 3.4%. Up a bit from recent prints of 3.2%, and well above the Fed’s target, but well below readings throughout most of 2025. If the Fed was willing to cut rates with much higher long-run expectations (and they did), then this should help rate cut probabilities inch higher. It isn’t great data, but could have been worse, which is all that a Fed run by Warsh is likely to need. On the flip side, while I’m not a huge fan of the number, β€œall-time” records deserve at least some attention The deterioration has been dramatic and cannot be β€œjust” linked to Iran. Does that mean affordability (and the β€œworking poor”) thesis is about to get some attention again? The caveat to this is that CONsumer CONfidence is very β€œpolitical.” Not sure why it is that political, but it is – just look at the chart, and how confidence switched after the election. Long before the President was even sworn into office, the sentiment of Republicans and Democrats did a 180 (the same thing happened, but in reverse, when Biden beat Trump). I will ignore the Democrats for now, and focus on Republicans and Independents. Both were slightly better than their lowest levels since the election. That mitigates some of the sting of the headline number but it is something to keep a close eye on. I do hate that I dedicated so much space to a data series that I don’t put a lot of faith in, but this was too big to ignore. Bottom Line Sunday night and Monday morning will be heavily dependent on the messaging out of Pakistan (I did a double take as I wrote that, but it seems to be the case). There is nothing bigger for the global economy than how this conflict is resolved or proceeds.Β Given the trading over the last two days (where every β€œnegative” headline was met with minimal selling, and every β€œpositive” headline was met with robust buying) a lot of good news is priced in. We will still rally on positive outcomes, but some form of a β€œdeal” seems to be increasingly priced into markets. Let’s hope that markets are right and we are near the end. Then for better or worse, we can return to our β€œnormal” programming and figure out what to make of the AI story, the software story, the K-shaped (or working poor) story, the affordability problem (which will be alleviated with a good outcome in the Middle East, but not solved), the jobs story, etc. Tyler Durden Sun, 04/12/2026 - 12:50

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