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    - Tyler Durden

    Trump Admin Revamps Steel, Aluminum, Copper Tariffs; Imposes 100% Duties On Patented Drugs The Trump administration on Thursday announced a pair of tariff actions under national-security authority, maintaining core 50% duties on many imported steel, aluminum and copper products while overhauling the rules to exempt goods containing negligible amounts of those metals and imposing 100% tariffs on imported patented pharmaceuticals that do not meet new domestic production or pricing conditions. President Donald Trump pauses as he finishes speaking about the Iran war from the Cross Hall of the White House in Washington on April 1, 2026. Alex Brandon-Pool/Getty Images The pharmaceutical measure targets branded drugs and active ingredients brought in by companies that have neither struck “most-favored-nation” pricing deals with the U.S. government nor committed to manufacturing in the United States. Exemptions will be honored for firms that reach such agreements or are already building or expanding U.S. plants. The policy gives large drugmakers 120 days and smaller ones 180 days to comply. Generics and certain trade-agreement partners are largely unaffected. Exceptions were also granted, lowering tariffs to 15 percent - for the European Union, Switzerland, Japan, and South Korea, and a 10 percent levy for the United Kingdom. Reduced rates reflect prior commitments with trading partners, according to a senior administration official. The UK was awarded a lower tariff “because they were the first ones who did this deal, and they committed to raise their prices for pharmaceuticals, and they have actually done so,” the official told reporters during a background call on April 2. Trump negotiated deals with 13 pharmaceutical companies over the past year, securing $400 billion in domestic manufacturing investments, the Epoch Times reports. In tandem, the White House released updated fact sheets detailing changes to Section 232 tariffs on steel, aluminum and copper and their derivative products. The administration will keep 50% tariffs in place on many imported steel, aluminum and copper products. However, goods in which the total steel, aluminum or copper content is below 15% will be effectively exempted. Some other derivative goods will face a lower 25% rate if they are deemed “substantially made” of one of the metals. Even so, 50% tariffs will remain on a large number of derivative products—including imported steel pipe—and will be assessed against the full value of the product, not merely its metal content. Aluminum cans are shown during a production run before being filled with craft beer at Black Plague Brewery in Oceanside, California, U.S., March 14, 2025. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo A senior administration official, speaking on condition of anonymity to describe the changes before formal announcement, said the revisions were designed “to simplify a complicated policy and provide more fairness to businesses grappling with President Donald Trump’s tariff regime.” The adjustments follow months of lobbying by companies that complained that earlier duties on derivative products unfairly hit items containing only trace amounts of metal, Bloomberg reports. Officials cited consumer products such as dental floss, which contains a small metal cutter but otherwise has negligible steel or aluminum content, and washing machines as examples that will now receive relief. Summary of metals tariffs (via the White House): The Trump administration will maintain 50% tariffs on many imported steel, aluminum, and copper products under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. The policy simplifies duties for goods made with negligible amounts of these metals to provide fairness to businesses and ease compliance. Goods with total steel, aluminum, or copper content below 15% will be effectively exempted from the metals tariffs. Some derivative goods will be subject to a lower 25% rate if they are deemed “substantially made” of steel, aluminum, or copper. 50% tariffs will remain in place on a large number of derivative products - including, for example, imported steel pipe - and will be assessed against the full value of the product, not merely its metal content. The revisions address months of lobbying from companies that said earlier duties unfairly hit items containing only trace amounts of metal. Examples of products receiving relief include consumer goods such as dental floss (small metal cutter with negligible steel/aluminum content) and washing machines. The changes build on the administration’s second-term trade agenda and follow the Supreme Court’s earlier decision striking down certain emergency authorities, allowing the White House to continue using Section 232 national-security tools. Administration officials emphasized that the revisions will not have a significant impact on consumer prices and will help ensure the tariffs function as originally intended. The revised metal tariffs were established under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. They come roughly one year after the launch of the administration’s second-term trade agenda, which initially imposed broad levies using emergency authorities. The Supreme Court earlier this year struck down certain country-by-country tariffs imposed under that emergency law, prompting the administration to rebuild protections through alternative pathways. Administration officials said the changes are intended to support domestic production and American workers while easing compliance burdens. Jon Toomey, president of the Coalition for a Prosperous America, a group representing U.S. manufacturers, welcomed the move. “This action will help ensure these tariffs function as intended to support domestic production and American workers,” he said. The White House downplayed the revised tariff scheme’s likely impact on consumer prices. Officials noted that while some imported steel and aluminum goods could face higher duties under the new full-value assessment, the simplified structure should reduce administrative headaches for importers. Full official proclamations, fact sheets and implementation guidance from the Commerce Department and U.S. Customs and Border Protection are now available on whitehouse.gov. Affected industries have a window to adjust supply chains before the changes take full effect. Trading partners are expected to review the measures in the coming days. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 16:20

    - Tyler Durden

    "Make A Deal Before It's Too Late": Trump Threatens Tehran (Again) As Iran/Oman Draft Protocol To Re-Open Hormuz Summary World's most important oil price hits record high as Trump threatens Iran: "make a deal before it's too late" Oil drops on reports of Iran-Oman coordination to reopen strait. Iran issues Israel/Gulf logistics hubs target list; IRGC targets Amazon Cloud computing center in Bahrain US intelligence assessments say Iran is not ready to negotiate given it believes it has the strategic upper-hand, and doesn't believe Trump is 'serious' about talks: NYT Highest bridge in Iran, connecting Tehran and Karaj, destroyed - amid reports of expanding attacks on civilian infrastructure. Iran threatens Port of Haifa in response. UK's Starmer chairs virtual summit of over 30 countries to discuss methods of how to reopen Hormuz Strait No mention of ceasefire while vowing to keep hitting Iran 'extremely hard' in Wed. night Trump speech. Escalating tit-for-tat overnight strikes. *  *  * You can support us here President Trump Issues Another Threat: "Make A Deal... Before There's Nothing Left" President Trump just issued another threat after bragging about blowing up Iran's highest bridge: "The biggest bridge in Iran comes tumbling down, never to be used again — Much more to follow!" El presidente Donald Trump declaró que “es hora de que Irán llegue a un acuerdo antes de que sea demasiado tarde y no quede nada de lo que podría haber sido un gran país”. Fuente Trump en Truth Social pic.twitter.com/DITsmWggFF — Fuente Latina (@FuenteLatina) April 2, 2026 Then he followed up with his ubiquitous FULL CAPS threat: " IT IS TIME FOR IRAN TO MAKE A DEAL BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE, AND THERE IS NOTHING LEFT OF WHAT STILL COULD BECOME A GREAT COUNTRY! President DONALD J. TRUMP" The Wall Street Journal writes: "According to Iranian state media, the strikes killed eight people and wounded almost a hundred others, while also partially destroying the structure." Striking civilian structures, including unfinished bridges, will not compel Iranians to surrender. It only conveys the defeat and moral collapse of an enemy in disarray. Every bridge and building will be built back stronger. What will never recover: damage to America's standing. pic.twitter.com/872zuE36qD — Seyed Abbas Araghchi (@araghchi) April 2, 2026 This helped send Dated Brent, the price of shipments bought and sold in the North Sea and the world’s most important price for real-world oil barrels, reached $141.37 a barrel, the highest level since 2008... So much for the calming tone so many hoped for before the long weekend. * * * 'Target List' of Logistical Hubs; IRGC Initiates Strikes on Amazon Cloud Center in Bahrain Iran says this is in response to its tall B1 bridge being attacked earlier in the day: Top targets include critical north-south rail chokepoints in Israel, especially the Yarkon Bridge, reportedly carrying most heavy IDF transport, and the Jezreel tunnel, seen as the only key route for moving fuel and ammunition inland from the Port of Haifa. Iran media also listed an alternative logistics lifeline: the overland corridor stretching from Jebel Ali through Saudi Arabia and Jordan into Israel. With sea routes under pressure, this desert corridor has become essential to Israeli logistics. Video circulating online shows an Iranian missile hitting an area outside of Tel Aviv. pic.twitter.com/TsIow0VcVF — Trey Yingst (@TreyYingst) April 2, 2026 Other reported targets include the Port of Haifa itself - the country’s primary trade and maritime hub - and the Rehout station, a central node channeling cargo to frontline areas. A large oil refinery in Haifa has already been attacked (more than once) earlier in the war. Gulf targets have also been added to the list, after on Thursday the IRGC said it initiated an attack on an Amazon Cloud computing center in Bahrain. Iran, Oman Reportedly Coordinating on Reopening Strait of Hormuz Emerging headlines say that Iran is drafting a protocol with Oman for the potential reopening of Strait of Hormuz traffic, per state IRNA:  Kazem Gharibabadi, Legal and International Deputy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, pointed out that even in peaceful conditions, the traffic of ships should be monitored and coordinated with the coastal countries, Iran and Oman, and said: "Of course, these requirements will not mean restrictions, but to facilitate and ensure safe passage and provide better services to ships that pass through this route." And Bloomberg also confirms: "Iran is drafting a protocol with Oman to monitor traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, state-run IRNA reports, citing Iran Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi." Gharibabadi continued in his remarks: "I must emphasize that the Strait of Hormuz was open and traffic was easy. It is natural that when we face an act of aggression, we face major problems and this is the result of the act of aggression. We are now at war and we cannot expect the pre-war rules to govern war conditions. We are facing two aggressor countries and some other countries that support aggression, so naturally restrictions and prohibitions should be imposed". Iran has also said it is readying tolls for passage, which could be something like $2 million per vessel. After earlier headlines suggesting a prolonged war (and thus Hormuz closure), this note of optimism has pushed oil prices down once again: Tit-For-Tat Escalation of Strikes in Overnight Hours By many accounts the overnight hours saw one of the largest Iranian missile attacks on Israel, with multiple salvos sent since midnight and many cluster munitions. Several Israelis were wounded, including reports of children and infants. Via Bloomberg: After US President Trump last night pledged more aggressive attacks in coming weeks, Iran’s army chief ramped up threats, saying that “if the enemy attempts a ground operation, not a single person should survive,” as the US ordered thousands of troops to the region. One particularly alarming escalation is that the Houthis have now joined in on Iran's ballistic missile attacks, with the Yemeni group said to be coordinating the strike waves with Tehran, and alongside Hezbollah in the north. At least 50 rockets were fired out of southern Lebanon alone on northern Israel and Haifa, resulting in some injuries but no reports of fatalities. Israel has hit back, bombing at least 40 Hezbollah infrastructure targets in Lebanon in the past 24 hours, killing 10 operatives - per regional military reports. Among overnight Iranian targets included a Ground Forces base, ballistic missile storage, and sites near Isfahan, international reports say. There have also been reports of recent strikes on Jordan, northern Iraq, as well as the Gulf states, with Qatar demanding that Tehran pay compensation for its immense losses and damage. Oil Prices Surge After Trump Vows To Hit Iran 'Extremely Hard' In Speech "Tonight, Iran’s navy is gone, their air force is in ruins, their leaders, most of them… are now dead. Their command and control of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is being decimated as we speak," President Trump stated in his address from the White House last night. "Their ability to launch missiles and drones is dramatically curtailed, and their weapons factories and rocket launchers are being blown to pieces, very few of them left." Trump said further that the United States is "on the cusp of ending Iran's sinister threat to America and the world." He declared that Israel and the United States are nearing their main goals in the war against Iran and that the conflict would end soon, though he gave no clear timeline. He repeatedly emphasized the war was close to finishing in his address, but didn't define what 'mission accomplished' would look like exactly. The key thing is that no concrete timeline was given. In the speech, Trump highlighted the "swift, decisive and overwhelming" blows delivered to Iran over the past four weeks, calling them "victories like few people have ever seen before." He did not specify when operations would end but said the US would strike Iran "extremely hard" over the next two-three weeks while negotiations continue. There was more talk of sending Iran "back to the stone age" - after in the past declaring that the US would "help" them: "We are going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks. We're going to bring them back to the Stone Ages, where they belong." The result of all this was to send oil prices back near the highs since war started... Iran is continuing to target US bases and assets across the region - even in Jordan and Israel (tech companies): ⚡️Insane video shows Iranian missile striking a US base in Jordan. pic.twitter.com/A56X10tSuq — War Monitor (@WarMonitors) April 2, 2026 NYT: US Intelligence Contradicts Trump, Says Tehran Not Ready to Negotiate The New York Times has meanwhile reported that several US intelligence agencies believe Iran is currently unwilling to engage in serious negotiations. "The assessments say the Iranian government believes it is in a strong position in the war and does not have to accede to America’s diplomatic demands, the officials said. And while Iran is willing to keep channels open, they said, it does not trust the United States and does not think President Trump is serious about negotiations," NYT says. However, there's a glimmer of hope, per the report: "The Iranian government could engage diplomatically under the right conditions, said two Iranian officials and a Pakistani official. Tehran wants to see that Washington is willing to talk seriously about ending the war and not just negotiate a temporary cease-fire, they said. They added that the language in public statements from Iran has been harsher than that of private messages it has passed to the United States." More shifting war aims and objectives... Three days ago Rubio omitted nuclear capabilities from the list of war aims. Now they are back on. Every day is an adventure. https://t.co/3LtzZ49kA5 pic.twitter.com/YBSAk0ewSD — Shashank Joshi (@shashj) April 2, 2026 'Highest Bridge in Middle East' Hit by Airstrikes There's more evidence of US-Israeli attacks on Iran civilian infrastructure, as it's being reported Thursday that fresh airstrikes hit a highway bridge connecting Tehran and Karaj, according to Fars News Agency. Several people were injured, and multiple areas of Karaj were also struck. The bridge was actually just constructed, having been inaugurated earlier this year. Fars identified it as the B1 bridge, dubbed the highest bridge in the Middle East. Tehran also continues to get pummeled hard, amid reports that the prior 24 hours saw the biggest wave of Iranian missiles and cluster munitions on Tel Aviv to date. B1 bridge in Karaj has been hit in US-ISRAELI attacks. This bridge is reportedly the "highest bridge in West Asia." pic.twitter.com/rZUhmeT9ph — Alireza Akbari (@itsalireza_akb) April 2, 2026 Operation Epic Fury seems to now be going after buildings and centers which play a vital role in terms of civilian infrastructure and maintaining day-to-day life in the country... Established in 1920, the Pasteur Institute of Iran in Tehran is historically significant as the oldest leading public health and vaccine production center in the Middle East - Now its bombed pic.twitter.com/6ATW7wlmr8 — Alex Vatanka (@AlexVatanka) April 2, 2026 UK Gathers Over 30 Countries to Discuss How to Open Strait of Hormuz Nearly three dozen countries are holding virtual meeting Thursday to coordinate diplomatic and political pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But notably the United States will not be represented in the virtual summit. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said the meeting, chaired by Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper, "will assess all viable diplomatic and political measures we can take to restore freedom of navigation, guarantee the safety of trapped ships and seafarers and to resume the movement of vital commodities." Iranian attacks on commercial vessels and continued threats have halted nearly all traffic (there have been some exceptions) through the waterway linking the Persian Gulf to global oceans, cutting off a critical oil route and driving petroleum prices sharply higher - with some 16 or more tankers having been directly attacked so far, per Bloomberg estimates. Aftermath of Wednesday drone strike on oil warehouse in the Kani Qirzhala area on the outskirts of Erbil, northern Iraq: Meanwhile Qatar has submitted another letter to the UN demanding that Iran "provide compensation for all damages" and to cease its attacks on Gulf countries. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 16:05

    - Tyler Durden

    Trump Fires Pam Bondi As Attorney General, Blanche To Be Acting AG Update (1315ET): President Donald Trump has ousted Attorney General Pam Bondi, multiple outlets report. Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche is serving as acting AG in the interim. The move comes amid White House frustration with Bondi’s leadership at the Justice Department -  particularly her handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files and what Trump viewed as insufficient aggression in targeting his political opponents. Trump had privately discussed firing her and floated EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin (or Blanche) as a possible replacement. Bondi met with Trump in the Oval Office Wednesday night ahead of his speech to the nation on the war in Iran, where she reportedly was informed of her ouster, according to two sources familiar with the meeting.  One of those sources said that by the time Trump took his place behind the podium for the address, Bondi already lost her job and was on her way back to Florida. -Fox News And according to the WSJ, Trump weighed firing her in January but was persuaded not to do so.  In a Thursday statement, Trump called Bondi "a Great American Patriot and a loyal friend, who faithfully served as my Attorney General over the past year," adding "she will be transitioning to a much needed and important new job in the private sector, to be announced at a date in the near future, and our Deputy Attorney General, and a very talented and respected Legal Mind, Todd Blanche, will step in to serve as Acting Attorney General." Back to private practice? * * * ReadyWise Spring Sale - ends April 10. Stock up. Earlier: Leaky little sharks are circling in DC - telling the NY Times and CNN that Pam Bondi may soon be out as Attorney General, and replaced with EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin.  The frustration, per sources close to the White House cited by The New York Times and CNN, centers squarely on Bondi's catastrophic mishandling of the Jeffrey Epstein files - a saga ZeroHedge has chronicled in excruciating detail as one of the most embarrassing self-inflicted wounds of the second Trump term. Recall Bondi's infamous February 2025 Fox News appearance where she claimed the "client list" was literally "sitting on my desk right now to review." Fast-forward months later: no list, endless redactions for "national security," millions more pages "discovered" at the 11th hour, and zero indictments of any high-profile co-conspirators. Beyond her disastrous testimony in front of the House Judiciary Committee in February - the House Oversight Committee has also subpoenaed her over the "troubling disappearance" of documents, with her deposition still looming on April 14. Even Trump ally and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles admitted Bondi "completely whiffed" the response.  News: The president has informed Pam Bondi that her time as AG is nearing an end, multiple sources tell me. Formal announcement hasn’t yet come aka all the normal caveats that he could change his mind apply; he’s been speaking with advisors on a possible replacement in recent… — Shelby Talcott (@ShelbyTalcott) April 2, 2026 Trump is also reportedly pissed that Bondi has an apparent allergy to actual justice - namely, her failure to deliver on promises to go after his political foes (former FBI Director James Comey or New York AG Letitia James). Bondi's DOJ has also been dragging its feet on broader accountability: no real movement on COVID-era prosecutions despite the obvious targets, a bizarre pivot toward "hate speech" crackdowns that even drew fire from the right, and a general pattern of not prosecuting what many see as a laundry list of potential criminals from the prior regime. Perhaps it was all by design. Either way, looks like Pam's time is short.  A person familiar with the situation tells me that Pam Bondi will be out as AG imminently, confirming scoops from @CNN and @nytimes. When Trump met EPA boss Lee Zeldin on Tuesday to discuss last year’s California wildfires, Trump also discussed the potential of tapping him for… pic.twitter.com/zXj6MInr6B — Dasha Burns (@DashaBurns) April 2, 2026 What's more, Bondi's DOJ has been actively sabotaging the Trump coalition by maintaining Biden-era policies in court - repeatedly mooting litigation on key issues rather than letting judges deliver precedent-setting knockout blows, defending outdated gun control measures like the 1934 National Firearms Act in suppressor cases, and choosing temporary tactical retreats over permanent wins that would prevent future Democrat administrations from simply flipping the switch back on. Bondi’s nightmare before Congress was more or less the crescendo of her implosion. On February 11, she was hauled before the House Judiciary Committee for what was supposed to be a straightforward oversight hearing - and instead delivered one of the most disastrous performances in recent memory. As we reported live, Bondi exploded into a full-blown shouting match with Rep. Thomas Massie and top Democrats, dodging more than a dozen direct questions on why - after months of “reviewing” the files  - the DOJ still had zero indictments of Epstein’s high-profile co-conspirators. 🚨Massie: "This goes over four administrations. You don't have to go back to Biden. Let's go back to Obama. Let's go back to George Bush. This coverup spans decades, and you are responsible for this portion."pic.twitter.com/mZoCGOoEtD — Derrick Evans (@DerrickEvans4WV) February 11, 2026 She hemmed and hawed over the selective redactions (victims’ names left exposed while alleged abusers were blacked out), the sudden “discovery” of a million more pages, and the complete lack of accountability for the powerful men who enabled the operation. At one point she even whipped out what insiders called a “burn book” of lawmakers’ search histories in a desperate whataboutism that backfired spectacularly, drawing jeers from Epstein survivors seated in the gallery. So basically an angry stonewalling with clips that went absolutely viral. The base watched in real time as the woman tasked with draining the swamp instead looked like she was guarding it.  Massie: "Here is an email that was sent by the victims' lawyers to the DOJ. It was a list of names not to release. What did the DOJ do with this email? They released it! Literally the worst thing you could do the survivors you did." pic.twitter.com/oSzA1dV2jj — Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) February 11, 2026 The timing is telling. Rumors of Bondi's exit have swirled for months, but they intensified this week after Trump met with Zeldin (a reliable MAGA foot soldier who ran New York and has been showered with praise by the president for his EPA work). Bondi was still glued to Trump's side yesterday - riding in the motorcade to Supreme Court arguments and sitting in the audience for his primetime Iran address - but the non-denial denial from the White House speaks volumes: "Attorney General Pam Bondi is a wonderful person and she is doing a good job." AKA - "you're on thin ice." Zeldin, for his part, has zero of the Epstein baggage and a track record of hawkish loyalty during Trump's first term. If the move happens, it would mark the second high-profile Cabinet shakeup of the term after Kristi Noem's ouster at DHS - a clear signal that even Trump is no longer willing to tolerate the kind of institutional inertia and base-alienating fumbles that defined too much of his first go-around. For now, Bondi remains in place... but the clock is ticking. As one person familiar with the discussions put it, the Epstein fallout has become a genuine political liability. * * * Click link, stock up. Free shipping over $500 + sale + looming boots on the ground = now's a great time. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 15:55

    - Tyler Durden

    Justice Jackson's Birthright Citizenship Comments Were A Total Disaster Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson turned Wednesday's Supreme Court birthright citizenship oral arguments into another demonstration of her lack of qualifications for sitting on the high court. The case centers on President Trump's executive order challenging the automatic grant of citizenship to children born on U.S. soil to non-citizen parents. It was, on paper, one of the most consequential constitutional arguments in decades. For Jackson, it became a showcase of creative — if baffling — jurisprudence. Speaking to ACLU attorney Cecillia Wang, Jackson offered an extremely bizarre take on allegiance to a nation. "I was thinking, you know … I, a U.S. citizen, am visiting Japan. And what it means is that, you know, if I steal someone's wallet in Japan, the Japanese authorities can arrest me and prosecute me. It's allegiance, meaning, can they control you as a matter of law?" She continued: "I can also rely on them if my wallet is stolen, to, you know, under Japanese law, go and prosecute the person who has stolen it." Then the kicker: "So there's this relationship based on — even though I'm a temporary traveler, I'm just on vacation in Japan, I'm still locally owing allegiance in that sense. Is that the right way to think about it?" What Jackson described isn't allegiance in any constitutional, historical, or even pedestrian sense of the word. It's basic jurisdictional law - the notion that when you're in a foreign country, local law applies to you. That has nothing to do with the 14th Amendment's "subject to the jurisdiction thereof" clause, which turns on political allegiance and sovereign obligation, not tourism logistics. Justice KBJ: "If I steal a wallet in Japan, I am subject to Japanese laws….. in a sense, it's allegiance." Her case for birthright citizenship: pic.twitter.com/2oEal2seWv — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) April 1, 2026 Jackson didn’t help herself when she started quoting an exchange between two senators from the Reconstruction-era debates over the 14th Amendment's citizenship clause without knowing who they were.  "I'm not sure whether these are senators. I apologize," she said mid-argument, before quoting Sen. Fessenden and Sen. Wade at length. For a case so thoroughly anchored in the congressional record of the 1860s, debates that any competent litigant or jurist in this proceeding would have studied cold, not recognizing the names of the principal architects of the amendment's citizenship language, is a remarkable gap. Their exchange over the citizenship clause is foundational to the very question before the Court. Jackson's uncertainty about whether they were even senators underscored a more troubling deficiency: she appeared unfamiliar with the precise debates that frame the constitutional text she was being asked to interpret. 🚨 OMG. DEI Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson starts quoting people on birthright citizenship, then says she doesn't even know WHO THEY ARE Why is she quoting it then?! "A subsequent debate, between Fessenden and Wade...I'm not sure whether these are senators, I apologize." Yeah,… pic.twitter.com/GNKrP8HFJU — Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) April 1, 2026 Yet another example of Jackson asking ridiculous questions was when she pressed Solicitor General D. John Sauer on how the system would work if babies born in the United States weren’t automatically granted citizenship. "Are you suggesting that when a baby is born, people have to have documents, present documents? Is this happening in the delivery room? How are we determining when or whether a newborn child is a citizen of the United States under your rule?" The question was posed as if the government had proposed fingerprinting maternity wards. It drew mockery online - but it also reflected a genuine gap in rigorous engagement with Sauer's actual legal theory, which turned on parental domicile rather than real-time documentation at birth. Jackson: "How does this work? Are you suggesting that when a baby is born, people have to have documents determining a newborn child is a citizen of the United States?... Are we bringing in pregnant women for depositions?" pic.twitter.com/r4zhuzuDOF — Greg Price (@greg_price11) April 1, 2026 By most accounts, a majority of the Court appeared skeptical of the Trump administration's position. Even some conservative justices grilled Sauer aggressively. But Jackson's contributions to Wednesday's argument were something else — a string of analogies that don't hold, a general lack of understanding of the law, history she couldn't identify, and procedural questions that generated headlines without illuminating the law. For a justice sitting on the nation's highest court in one of its most scrutinized cases in years, it’s an embarrassment. * * * Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 15:40

    - Tyler Durden

    US Apartment Rents Post Largest Annual Decline Since 2017 In March: Report Authored by Rob Sabo via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), The national median apartment rent shook off the seasonal winter chill and inched up by 0.4 percent in March from February to $1,363, Apartment List reported. A sign is posted in front of an apartment building with available rentals in San Francisco on June 9, 2023. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images However, the median rent was down by 1.7 percent from March 2025, the largest annual decline since Apartment List began compiling records in 2017. By comparison, year-over-year growth peaked at 18 percent during the winter of 2021. Rents are generally soft or stagnant during the late fall and winter months as renters tend to forgo moving plans when it’s cold outside, but rates trend upward with warmer springtime and summer weather. The slight gain in March was the second consecutive monthly increase following a six-month span of declining rents, the Apartment List report said. “This turn represents the market creeping out of the off-season, and we’ll likely see continued increases in the months ahead as moving activity ramps up, in line with typical seasonal patterns,” researchers at the organization wrote. The national median rent peaked at $1,442 in August 2022 but has since trended downward, excluding seasonal jumps during the past three summers. Despite being 5.5 percent lower than its pandemic-induced peak, the national median monthly rent was still up 15 percent from $1,146 in January 2021. Rents have softened behind a massive buildup of new apartment inventory. According to a February report by the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB), multifamily development starts peaked at 547,000 apartment units in 2022, though apartment starts had dipped by 35 percent from that level by 2024. Multifamily starts were expected to be stronger in 2025 at an estimated 413,000 new units, the NAHB reported. However, new multifamily construction is expected to taper off in 2026 and drop even further over the following two years, the NAHB stated. “The multifamily market has slowed due to tighter financing and elevated construction costs and is moving towards a more constrained development environment,” said Danushka Nanayakkara-Skillington, assistant vice president for forecasting and analysis at the NAHB, in a statement. Multifamily completions, meanwhile, peaked in 2024 with more than 608,000 new units hitting the market, a 38-year high, Nanayakkara-Skillington added. That surge in inventory has led to rising vacancy rates. The vacancy rate among stabilized properties (those with at least 85 percent occupancy) is 7.3 percent, the highest rate since 2017, Apartment List noted. The aggressive delivery of new apartment inventory in Sun Belt states has put downward pressure on rents, CoStar Group said in its latest market report. Year-over-year rent growth was down by 1.3 percent across the South in March, while the Mountain region dipped by 2.2 percent, CoStar Group reported. Multifamily market conditions are expected to remain soft through the year, Apartment List added. “Year-over-year rent growth hit a new low this month, while vacancies and time-on-market are both at peak levels. The wave of construction that has been driving these conditions is waning, but it now appears that weaker rental demand may keep rental conditions soft,” researchers wrote. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 15:20

    - Tyler Durden

    US Defense Stocks Take Epic Fury Beating, Leaving UBS Asking Why Despite the launch of Operation Epic Fury against Iran in late February, U.S. defense stocks have moved lower rather than higher, prompting a UBS analyst to pen a note to clients this week attempting to answer why the makers of missiles and tanks failed to sustain a wartime rally. Analyst Allyson Gordon asked the question: "Why Is US Defense Performance Lackluster?"  Let's start with iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF, or ITA, a basket of major U.S. defense firms. ITA caught an early bid in the first phase of Operation Epic Fury, but the rally failed to hold shortly after that. By late March, the fund was down nearly 16%. The fund has since rebounded in recent sessions, trading around $223 on Thursday morning, but the defense complex's inability to sustain a war-driven rally caught investors off guard. Gordon provided her take on why defense stocks has underperformed during the first month of the conflict: Defense is one of the more asked groups on "lack of outperformance" in the wake of the Middle East conflict – I think a lot is in part a function of a high starting point with a ton of money piling into Defense at the end of 2025/start of 2026 on geopolitical tension and budget optimism, along with these being non-AI/non-cyclical big cap stocks attached to a good theme (i.e. exposure diversification).  Now, there are also questions on midterms and supplemental. I still sense investors holding on but poor performance is forcing some cautious sentiment creep. RTX is the one investors are fighting the hardest on the recent lag. She added: Trading Color: Clear de-risking. Initially saw a rush of demand to start the year, but now the desk is much better for sale especially from the Long Only community. Most skewed in RTX, Lockheed Martin, Lam Research and Parsons. In a separate note, Melius analyst Scott Mikus saw an opportunity in the sliding shares of RTX, formerly Raytheon Technologies Corporation. He upgraded the stock to "Buy" from "Hold" on the basis of "Epic Fury tailwinds." Mikus said, "Given the need to replace missiles, missile interceptors, damaged radars, aircraft, and other equipment used in Operation Epic Fury, we are raising our estimates and price targets for the large defense primes." "We see margin tailwinds for defense contractors as they move past stale-priced contracts and receive awards for mature production programs that are margin accretive," added Mikus. The lingering question is how defense stocks will hold up as the Trump administration looks for an off-ramp to wind down the Iran operation, especially with U.S. gasoline prices now averaging above the politically sensitive $4-a-gallon level. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 15:00

    - Tyler Durden

    OpenAI Snaps Up TBPN, Slashes ChatGPT Pricing As Secondary Market Interest Fades Update (1400ET): In a surprise move, OpenAI has acquired TBPN (Technology Business Programming Network), the influential daily technology talk show and media platform hosted by John Coogan and Jordi Hays. TBPN has become one of Silicon Valley’s most-watched programs for real-time tech news, M&A rumors, high-profile executive interviews, and AI developments - often described as “SportsCenter for the tech industry.” The deal gives OpenAI a powerful owned-media channel to directly reach and engage the tech community while accelerating global conversations around AI. The show will continue unchanged: live weekdays from 11 a.m. to 2 p.m. PT on YouTube and X, with Coogan and Hays retaining full creative control and editorial independence. TBPN has been acquired by OpenAI The world is changing quickly but TBPN will stay the same. Live every weekday just with a lot more resources. Thank you to everyone that has been a part of this journey big or small. We are 17 months in and unironically just getting started. pic.twitter.com/TLvPxxMGVe — Jordi Hays (@jordihays) April 2, 2026 Coogan, who has a long personal history with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman (including funding from Altman for his earlier startups), called the acquisition a “full circle moment.” Both hosts emphasized that TBPN “will stay the same” but will now benefit from significantly more resources to scale. TBPN has been acquired by OpenAI! The show is staying the same and we’ll continue to go live at 11am pacific every weekday. This is a full circle moment for me as I’ve worked with @sama for well over a decade. He funded my first company in 2013. Then helped us fix a serious… — John Coogan (@johncoogan) April 2, 2026 At the same time, OpenAI is accelerating its consumer growth push by expanding access to its lower-priced ChatGPT Go subscription tier. Priced at roughly $8 per month in the US (a ~60% discount to the $20 ChatGPT Plus plan), Go delivers expanded access to GPT-5.3, higher message limits, more file uploads, image generation, and longer memory. The tier - first introduced in select markets last year and rolled out globally earlier in 2026 — is now being made available in dozens of additional countries as OpenAI seeks to drive mass adoption and daily usage ahead of intensifying competition. These announcements appear designed to bolster OpenAI’s growth narrative and consumer momentum at a moment when secondary-market demand for its shares has cooled sharply (as detailed in our reporting below).  * * * Interest in OpenAI’s stock on secondary markets has cooled sharply, with some large investors now struggling to find buyers according to Bloomberg. At the same time, capital is rapidly shifting toward its main rival, Anthropic, where demand is surging. In recent weeks, holders of OpenAI shares—including hedge funds and venture firms—have tried to offload roughly $600 million in stock, but unlike before, buyers haven’t stepped in. Platforms that once saw quick turnover now report little to no interest. Meanwhile, investors are actively setting aside billions to gain exposure to Anthropic instead. Much of this shift comes down to valuation and perceived upside. OpenAI’s valuation has climbed to around $852 billion, leaving some investors unsure how much room remains for near-term gains. Anthropic, valued significantly lower, is increasingly viewed as having more growth potential, making it a more attractive bet right now. The Bloomberg report notes that major banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are adjusting—offering OpenAI shares with reduced fees to spark interest, while continuing to charge typical performance fees for Anthropic investments. There are also strategic concerns. OpenAI is spending heavily on infrastructure and has been slower to expand into high-margin enterprise markets. Anthropic, by contrast, has gained stronger traction with those clients, reinforcing expectations of faster growth. That said, Anthropic isn’t without issues, including legal disputes and recent security missteps. Still, investor appetite remains extremely strong, with secondary demand pushing its implied valuation far higher, while OpenAI shares are increasingly trading at a discount. *OPENAI DEMAND SINKS ON SECONDARY MARKET AS ANTHROPIC RUNS HOT OpenAI shares are being sold in the secondary markets per Bloomberg with no buyers, while Anthropic shares are seeing record demand. Ken Smythe, the founder of Next Round Capital, noted that there was a huge drop in… pic.twitter.com/MqygdTbzkn — Negligible Capital (@negligible_cap) April 1, 2026   Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 14:20

    - Tyler Durden

    Three LNG Tankers Are First To Cross Strait Of Hormuz Since War Started While a growing number of ships have been traversing the Strait of Hormuz, with Lloyd's List reporting a total of 142 vessels have transited since the start of March, but 67% of that traffic has a direct affiliation with Iran... and the figure rises to 90% when looking at traffic in recent days, as some ships have had to pay fees in yuan or cryptocurrencies before being escorted through the strait... IRAN’S TOLL SYSTEM IS NOW LIVE IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ In the last 24 hours, around 10 ships have made it through. Here’s how the system works: The IRGC is running an informal checkpoint inside the Strait. 1. Ships submit cargo and vessel details through intermediaries 2.… https://t.co/Q21S0gN0Zm pic.twitter.com/PrSDQpKo3R — Milk Road Macro (@MilkRoadMacro) April 2, 2026 ... one vessel class that has so far failed to make the key crossing are LNG-carrying VLCCs, which are critical to ease the Asian nat gas supply crunch because,  unlike oil, there are no Hormuz alternatives or bypass pipelines to bring LNG/nat gas to gas-starved Asian customers where demand destruction is now rampant.  But that is about to change: according to Bloomberg, a liquefied natural gas tanker has entered the Strait of Hormuz, and if it successfully navigates the waterway would become the first such vessel to pass through the strait since the start of the war. The Sohar LNG tanker, which appears not to be loaded with cargo, is moving eastward after changing its destination to the Qalhat LNG export terminal in Oman, according to ship-tracking data. The vessel, which is signaling that it’s an Omani ship, had been circling around the Persian Gulf over the past month, the data show. LNG ships have avoided the strait since the conflict broke out on Feb. 28, disrupting about a fifth of the world’s supply of the fuel. According to Bloomberg, which first reported about the crossing, the ship’s manager, recorded as Oman Ship Management on the Equasis database, didn’t immediately respond to calls or an email seeking comment. Its owner, Energy Spring LNG Carrier SA, shares the same contact details as its manager. More importantly, the Sohar appears to be traversing the southern side of the strait which is unusual because ships have typically taken a northerly route at Tehran’s behest. In other words, it appears that the Omanese ship is making a run for it.  While the Sohar vessel appears to be empty, the market is closely watching for LNG flows to resume and ease pressure on global prices, as the collapse in supply from the Persian Gulf  - with Qatar's huge Ras Laffan LNG facility damaged and shut-in indefinitely - compounded by outages at Australian facilities due to a cyclone last month, has sent consumers worldwide seeking alternative sources of energy.  More importantly, the empty LNG tanker is not alone. According to data from Lloyd's List and Hormuz Letter, two other VLCCs, and these are laden with some 4 million barrels of Saudi and Emirati cargo unlike the empty Sohar, are sailing through the Strait of Hormuz, tracking close to the Omani coastline. All three vessels are indicating they are heading to ports in Oman. Why does this matter? Well, earlier today, Iran announced the "Oman protocol" which also includes tolls. And now ships are moving, although it wasn't clear if the ships had paid the toll demanded by Iran.  As The Hormuz Letter notes, "The blockade isn't ending, but is being restructured. Iran is deciding who passes, under what terms, and at what price. This is what controlled access looks like." Earlier today,  Kazem Gharibabadi, Iran’s deputy foreign minister of legal and international affairs, said the tanker traffic through the key oil-shipping route must be supervised and coordinated: “Of course, these requirements will not mean restrictions, but rather to facilitate and ensure safe passage and provide better services to ships that pass through this route.” What he really meant is that going forward - all else equal - every ship will have to pay a toll in the millions, either in yuan or crypto.  Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 14:00

    - Tyler Durden

    Gulf States Considering Network Of New Pipelines To Bypass Strait Of Hormuz One month ago, at the start of the war, we said it was surprising that UAE's oil export terminal of Fujairah was not a bigger terminal as it bypasses the Straits completely, and predicted a "major infrastructure push here after the war." Surprising Fujairah is not a bigger oil terminal: it bypasses the straits completely. Expect major infrastructure push here after the war. https://t.co/Do1gK7KBDQ — zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 3, 2026 Couple that with the latest news that the Saudi East-West pipeline is now running at capacity of roughly 7mmb/d (including non-oil products), and one can see the urgency gripping the Gulf in finding alternatives to the Strait of Hormuz which has emerged as Iran's biggest source of leverage in the war. And that's just the start. Confirming our observation from a month ago, the FT writes today that the threat of open-ended Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz is pushing Gulf countries to revisit costly plans for pipelines to bypass the choke point so they can continue to export oil and gas. According to officials and industry executives, new pipelines may be the only way to reduce Gulf countries’ enduring vulnerability to disruption in the strait, even though such projects would be expensive, politically complex and take years to complete. We have already discussed the 1200km East-West pipeline: the war has underscored the strategic value of this Hormuz bypass. Built in the 1980s after fears that the Iran-Iraq “tanker war” would close the strait, it is now a key lifeline, delivering 7mn barrels of oil a day to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, bypassing Hormuz entirely.  “In hindsight the East-West pipeline looks like a genius masterstroke,” said one senior Gulf energy executive.  Amin Nasser, chief executive of Saudi’s state-run oil giant Aramco, told analysts last month that the pipeline is the “main route that we are capitalizing on right now”.  Now, the kingdom is considering how it can export more of its 10.2mn barrels of daily production by pipeline, rather than through Iranian-controlled waters. This includes examining whether it should expand the capacity of the East-West pipeline further or build new routes. According to the FT. previous plans for pipelines across the region have repeatedly stalled, undone by high costs and complexity. But Maisoon Kafafy, a senior adviser to the Atlantic Council’s Middle East programs, said the mood in the Gulf has now changed.  “I’m sensing a shift from hypotheticals into operational reality,” she said. “Everyone is looking at the same map and they are drawing the same conclusions.” To eliminate the threat of centralized "points of failure", rather than individual projects, the most resilient option “is not a single alternative pipeline but rather a network, a web of corridors”, said Kafafy, although she added that it would also be the hardest to achieve. In the longer term, any new pipelines are likely to form part of trade routes through which a wider range of goods beyond oil and gas can flow. One option is the revival of US-led plans for an ambitious corridor that would run from India through the Gulf and then to Europe, called IMEC, one Gulf official said, although part of this project originally included a politically tricky pipeline that ran to the Israeli port of Haifa.  Yossi Abu, the chief executive of Israeli company NewMed Energy, said he was confident that pipelines to the Mediterranean Sea would be built, whether they terminated at Israeli or Egyptian ports. “People need to control their own destinies, with their friends,” he said. “You need oil pipelines, railway connectivity, throughout the region, onshore, without giving others bottlenecks to choke us.”  A push for more bypasses means bumper revenues for local contruction companies. Christopher Bush, the CEO of Cat Group, the private Lebanese company that was one of the main builders of Saudi’s East-West pipeline, said there was plenty of interest in new projects even before the war began. “We have had inquiries about various different pipelines,” he said. “I have multiple different presentations on my desk.”  But the obstacles remain immense, he added. The cost of replicating the East-West pipeline today, which involved blasting through the hard basalt of the Hijaz mountain on Saudi’s Red Sea coast, would be at least $5bn, Bush estimated. Proposals for more complicated multi-country routes from Iraq through Jordan, Syria or Turkey would cost $15bn to $20bn. “It has been looked at. There are even front-end engineering studies for [such routes from] Iraq. There is an opportunity that has been discussed,” he said. But security risks include “a lot” of unexploded bombs in Iraq and the continuing presence of Isis or other militants. Pipelines running south to ports in Oman would also face the difficulty of passing through both desert and hard-rock mountains, Bush warned. Ports in Oman are not immune from Iranian security threats. Drone attacks on the key port of Salalah in recent days forced it to shut temporarily. Political challenges also include who will operate the pipeline and control the flow. A network of pipelines would require Gulf countries “to abandon their individualist policies and combine. It was always deemed cheaper and safer to bring a ship, load a ship and sail a ship,” Bush added. In the near term, the most viable options may be to expand the East-West pipeline and also Abu Dhabi’s existing route to Fujairah, just as we suggested weeks ago. This would increase capacity without the complications of new cross-border infrastructure. Saudi Arabia could also develop additional export terminals on its Red Sea coast, including at the deepwater port being built for the Neom project. “I am sure they are looking at it as a possibility,” said Bush. “You have a lot of smart minds looking at all of this now. It is a big problem.”  One senior energy executive said Abu Dhabi had “always had a plan B for a second pipeline to Fujairah”. But they added that no decisions are likely to be made until the long-term status of the Strait of Hormuz becomes clear. Kafafy agreed that Gulf states will take a while to assess the situation with the waterway, but said they now recognise that the scale of the current energy crisis demands a new way of thinking. “The conversations have moved further along the chain,” she said. “I do not expect [the status quo] to return to where it was pre-conflict.” * * * Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 13:40

    - Tyler Durden

    Kremlin Asks US For Ceasefire At Bushehr Nuclear Plant To Get Remaining Russian Staff Out Russia is seeking approval from the US and Israel for a ceasefire for the Bushehr nuclear ⁠power plant in Iran, RIA news agency reported Thursday. Airstrikes across the country have reportedly been on the uptick in the past some 48 hours. "The travel routes will be communicated ‌to the relevant authorities in Israel and the United States, and we will use all channels to request strict adherence to the ceasefire ⁠during the convoy’s movement," the ⁠head of Russia’s state nuclear corporation Rosatom, Alexei Likhachev, stated. Well over 500 Russian personnel were at the site prior to the US launching Operation Epic Fury, and the Bushehr complex has been hit at least three times by airstrikes, putting the complex and area at severe risk. via Anadolu Agency Likhachev said that a "final ⁠wave of evacuation" of some 200 people is tentatively scheduled for next week. There's been a lot of Russian technicians and personnel there given the plant was undergoing expansion, and it's Russia which first constructed Busherh - and so has technical expertise. The Kremlin has accused Washington and Israel of putting the whole region in danger, and further of harming the cause of nuclear non-proliferation globally. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova days ago issued statement saying, "The drama of the situation is aggravated by the fact that countries attacking peaceful nuclear facilities in Iran are effectively undermining  the NPT, the IAEA's verification mechanisms, nuclear and physical security conventions, as well as the agency's relevant regulations," according to the ministry's website. "Carefully crafted and internationally agreed solutions are not taken seriously by these states and can be discarded at any moment in favor of their selfish interests and geopolitical considerations," the spokeswoman added. Zakharova further communicated that atrocities in Iran must cease, and nuclear sites must be safeguarded, referencing the latest attacks in the past days on the complex in Khondab, the factory in Ardakan, and the strikes near the Bushehr nuclear power plant. "The aggressors continue to raise the stakes in their war in the Middle East, ignoring all associated risks, including the danger of widespread radioactive contamination," Zakharova had said last week. Moscow Urges U.S., Israel to Ensure Safety#Russia’s Rosatom chief Alexei Likhachev says Moscow will ask the United States and #Israel to observe a ceasefire during evacuation of staff from #Iran’s Bushehr plant, a final wave involving about 200 personnel is planned next week,… pic.twitter.com/MaaYa6RNIW — Daily Euro Times (@dailyeurotimes) April 2, 2026 She further chastised UN and international bodies for not stepping up to loudly condemn the US-Israeli operation. The IAEA has meanwhile urged de-escalation, also as Trump is said to be mulling a possible high risk special forces operation to seize Iran's enriched uranium. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 13:10

    - Tyler Durden

    Coinbase Exec Says Senate CLARITY Act Deal On Stablecoin Yield "Very Close" Authored by Amin Haqshanas via CoinTelegraph.com, Coinbase chief legal officer Paul Grewal said the US Digital Asset Market Clarity Act is “moving toward” a markup hearing in the US Senate Banking Committee and could eventually move to a floor vote if senators resolve the stablecoin yield dispute and schedule a markup. Speaking in a Wednesday interview on Fox Business, Grewal said lawmakers are nearing agreement on core elements of the crypto market structure bill, even as debate continues over stablecoin yield. “I think we’re very close to a deal,” he said. The remarks point to possible movement on one of the last major sticking points in Senate talks over crypto market structure legislation: whether stablecoin issuers or platforms should be allowed to offer yield or similar rewards. The dispute has helped delay a Senate Banking Committee markup, leaving the broader effort to set federal rules for digital asset oversight still unresolved. US banks have pushed for restrictions, arguing that such incentives could draw deposits away from traditional institutions and disrupt the banking system. Grewal pushed back on that claim, saying there is no evidence to support fears of deposit flight. The US House of Representatives passed the CLARITY Act on July 17, 2025. In January, Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott delayed a planned markup, which has yet to be rescheduled. Trump blames banks for stalling crypto bill Last month, US President Donald Trump accused banks of undermining efforts to pass crypto market structure legislation, saying they are blocking progress over disagreements on stablecoin yield payments. “The Banks should not be trying to undercut The Genius Act, or hold The Clarity Act hostage,” he wrote. It was later reported that Trump met privately with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong just hours before issuing the statement. Coinbase shares are down 23% YTD. Source: Yahoo! Finance In January, Armstrong said Coinbase could not back the market structure bill “as written,” pointing to draft amendments that would eliminate stablecoin rewards and let banks restrict competition. CLARITY delay could expose crypto to crackdowns Last week, Coin Center executive director Peter Van Valkenburgh warned that failure to pass the CLARITY Act could leave the crypto industry vulnerable to a future US administration taking a tougher stance. He argued that rejecting developer protections in favor of short-term business interests risks creating a system shaped by political shifts rather than clear law. “The point of passing CLARITY is not to trust this administration. It is to bind the next one,” he said. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 12:55

    - Tyler Durden

    Private Credit Bank Run Begins: Blue Owl Gates After Shocking 41% Of OTIC Investors Ask For Their Money A week ago, in an attempt to calm the market, Goldman's economists published a lengthy, if at times disjointed, report discussing why a crisis in private credit would not lead to another financial crisis. We are about to find out if they were right.  Recall that in mid-March, while attention was understandably focused on the Iran war, we explained why Blue Owl's February decision to commence liquidations of loans in its three core private credit funds to fund current and future redemptions, was the industry's "Margin Call" moment, to wit:  First it was Blue Owl, the largest pure play Private Credit fund with over $300 billion in AUM. The company, the first to face massive redemption demands, refused to gate investors and instead announced it would sell $1.4 billion in private loans (it was unclear which loans were sold, but Goldman suggested that these are likely the best ones so as to find willing buyers, leaving the company with the toxic sludge) from its three BDCs (OBDCII, OBDC and OTIC) at 99.7 cents (a number which was meant to inspire confidence yet was laughable, especially since once of the "buyers" was a related-party insurance company, Kuvare, also owned by Blue Owl), to satisfy redemption requests.  In our February 19 article describing the Blue Owl transaction, we said that "while it is unclear how deep the secondary market for private credit assets is, to the extent demand is relatively scarce, a transaction of this size could dry up market liquidity. If that assumption is true, other BDCs looking to exit portfolio investments could be jeopardized. Recall the immortal line from Margin Call: "Be First, Be Smarter, or Cheat." We then said that "this could very well be Blue Owl's "Be First" moment... "Sell it all, today" especially if it were to later emerge that the secondary market is only deep for higher quality private credit assets, like the ones in the portfolio OWL is selling. In a concurrent report, Barclays warned that "if this transaction dries up secondary liquidity for private credit assets (or proves that the bid is only there for higher quality assets), it could be negative for other BDCs exploring portfolio sales." In retrospect, this is precisely when the "Margin Call moment" of the private credit sector happened, because what happened next would make the market's head spin. And unfortunately for Blue Owl, while the firm's catastrophic practices and financial engineering was indeed the snowflake that started the avalanche in the broader private credit sector, it has now boomeranged on the company itself and may have well led to its demise when two months after desperately seeking to avoid gating redemptions, the private credit giant announced it will in fact limit redemptions from two of its private credit funds after facing a historic surge in withdrawal requests that is unprecedented among major firms in the $1.8 trillion market. Redemption requests in Blue Owl's marquee $36 billion Credit Income Corp. fund, one of the industry’s largest, soared to 21.9% in the three months ended March 31, according to an investor letter first reported by Bloomberg, up from "only" 5.2% in the prior period. But it was the smaller Blue Owl Technology Income Corp, which was at the center of the February turmoil, that was the real shock after its shareholders asked for a shocking 40.7% back, compared with 15.4% three months earlier, according to a separate letter.  Both funds had previously met the requests in excess of its 5% tender offer. This time, though, Blue Owl - whose actions sparked the crisis that is now sweeping across pricvate credit - said it would join industry peers in capping redemptions at that level, “in accordance with the fund structure, reflecting our commitment to balancing the interests of both tendering and remaining shareholders.” For the bigger fund, OCIC, that amounts to $988 million of redemptions honored and about $3.2 billion remaining in the fund, while for OTIC it means redeeming $179 million and keeping roughly $1 billion of investors’ cash, according to Bloomberg. Craig Packer, Blue Owl’s co-president, said in an investor update that he believed the uptick in redemptions reflected a “period of heightened negative sentiment toward the asset class that has intensified as peers have reported tender results”. And why would their tender results be intensified one wonders? Would it have something to do with that pinnacle of financial engineering where Blue Owl dumped many of its best loans to a related entity? Maybe Craig thinks that his investors are all idiots, but as he just found out, they may be far smarter than him. “While we believe market perception has driven elevated tender activity, underlying credit fundamentals across our portfolio have remained resilient,” he added. “We continue to observe a meaningful disconnect between the public dialogue on private credit and the underlying trends in our portfolio.” In the letters, OCIC said 90% of its shareholders chose not to tender, reflecting concentrated withdrawal demands, which means it was driven by institutions not retail investors who have been frequently blamed for all the ills plaguing private credit.. OTIC said its redemption pressure “was amplified by the fund’s more concentrated shareholder base, particularly within certain wealth channels and regions, and its specialized investment mandate.” Both Blue Owl funds, which have returned more than 9% annualized since inception (not all too different from how Bernie Madoff generated double digits returns until one day his ponzi scheme collapsed), said they’re in a “strong position” to meet the 5% redemption requests and future tenders. OCIC and OTIC had $11.3 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively, across cash, available borrowing and liquid Level 2 assets as of the end of February, according to the letters. While Blue Owl joins industry peers including Apollo Global, Ares Management and BlackRock in sticking to their redemption threshold on non-traded business development companies, the staggering magnitude of the requests underscores how Blue Owl has found itself squarely in the middle of worries about private credit. The limitation on outflows highlights the risks to individual investors who had flocked to so-called non-traded private credit funds over the past three years in periods of stress. Those wealthy individuals had been promised access to higher-yielding investments in exchange for limited liquidity. Now they are regretting it.  Private credit asset managers have diverged in how they have dealt with redemption requests, with some going to great lengths to cash out investors, while others have stuck to their limit. Still, no major manager has disclosed facing the percentage that Blue Owl’s BDCs were asked to pay back. And with Blue Owl's private credit business now effectively in wind down mode, and mothballing the entire private credit industry, one wonders where so many crappy small and medium (mostly tech) companies will get the funding to exist. But before that, one wonders more just how wrong Goldman's analysis is that a private credit crisis won't impact the broader economy. We'll find out very soon.  Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 12:35

    - Tyler Durden

    CEO Of Largest Public Hospital System Says He's Ready To Replace Radiologists With AI By Marty Stempniak of Radiology Business, The chief executive of America’s largest public hospital system says he is prepared to start replacing radiologists with artificial intelligence in some circumstances, once the regulatory landscape catches up.  Mitchell H. Katz, MD, president and CEO of NYC Health + Hospitals, recently spoke during a panel discussion held by Crain’s New York Business. The trained internal medicine specialist noted how AI is increasingly being used to interpret mammograms and X-rays.  This presents an opportunity to save on how much hospitals spend on radiologists, who have become more costly amid rising demand for imaging, Crain’s reported Thursday.  “We could replace a great deal of radiologists with AI at this moment, if we are ready to do the regulatory challenge,” Katz said at the forum, held on March 25.  Katz—who has led the 11-hospital organization since 2018—said he sees great potential for AI to increase access to breast cancer screening. Hospitals could potentially produce “major savings” by letting the technology handle first reads, with radiologists then double-checking any abnormal screenings.  Fellow panelist David Lubarsky, MD, MBA, president and CEO of the Westchester Medical Center Health Network, said his system is already seeing great success in deploying such technology. The AI Westchester uses misses very few breast cancers and is “actually better than human beings,” he told the audience. “For women who aren’t considered high risk, if the test comes back negative, it’s wrong only about 3 times out of 10,000,” Lubarsky said.  Katz asked fellow hospital CEOs if there is any reason why they shouldn’t be pushing for changes to New York state regulations, allowing AI to read images “without a radiologist,” Crain’s reported. In this scenario, rads could then provide second opinions, if AI flags any images as abnormal. Sandra Scott, MD, CEO of the One Brooklyn Health, a small hospital facing tight margins, agreed with this line of thinking, according to Crain’s.  “I mean, I’m in charge of a safety-net institution. It would be a game-changer,” Scott said about AI being used to replace rads.  The discussion comes after Dario Amodei, PhD, CEO of Anthropic, recently made similar statements about artificial intelligence replacing rads. In a podcast interview, he falsely stated that AI has taken over the specialty’s core function, allowing doctors to focus more on the human side of the job. Radiologists roundly criticized Amodei’s remarks. Mohammed Suhail, MD, a San Diego-based rad with North Coast Imaging, said the same about Katz’s comments on Monday.  “Undeniable proof that confidently uninformed hospital administrators are a danger to patients: easily duped by AI companies that are nowhere near capable of providing patient care,” Suhail told Radiology Business. “Any attempt to implement AI-only reads would immediately result in patient harm and death, and only someone with zero understanding of radiology would say something so naive. But in some sense, they’re correct: Hospitals are happy to cut costs even if it means patient harm, as long as it’s legal.” * * *  Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 12:20

    - Tyler Durden

    Iran To Attack Logistical Hubs In Israel, Gulf After Its Tallest Bridge Destroyed Earlier we reported there are signs that the US and Israel are expanding attacks on Iran civilian infrastructure, after reports emerged Thursday that fresh airstrikes hit a highway bridge connecting Tehran and Karaj, according to Fars News Agency. Several people were injured, and multiple areas of Karaj were also struck. The bridge was actually just constructed, having been inaugurated earlier this year. Fars identified it as the B1 bridge, dubbed the highest bridge in the Middle East. Tehran also continues to get pummeled hard, amid reports that the prior 24 hours saw the biggest wave of Iranian missiles and cluster munitions on Tel Aviv to date. In response to the bridge attack, Iran state media says the country's armed forces are preparing a retaliatory escalation, with plans to hit Israel's core logistical backbone. Tehran's strategy focuses on crippling three critical arteries that sustain Israel's war machine, per state media reports reference in Newsquawk. At the top of the list are key north-south rail chokepoints, among them the Yarkon Bridge - which reportedly handles the vast majority of heavy IDF military transport. There's also the Jezreel tunnel - described as the sole route for moving fuel and ammunition from Port of Haifa inland.  At the same time, Iran is eyeing the alternative logistics lifeline: the overland corridor running from Jebel Ali through Saudi Arabia and Jordan toward Israel. * * *ReadyWise Spring Sale - ends April 10. Stock up. * * * With maritime routes under threat, this desert supply chain has become increasingly vital to Israeli military logistics. Also, from Tehran's perspective, these locations highly vulnerable to precision strikes that could disrupt fuel flows and strain Israel's air power. Additional targets reportedly include high-value infrastructure such as the Port of Haifa itself (Haifa's oil refinery has already been hit a couple times), which remains the country's the central hub of trade and maritime logistics, and the Rehout station, a key distribution point funneling cargo toward active war fronts. In listing out these target locations Iran is strongly signaling a shift toward systemic disruption aimed at paralyzing logistics and fracturing supply lines - just as Washington and Tel Aviv are doing to the Islamic Republic. Israelis rush to shelters as sirens blare in Haifa People in Haifa, Israel, were seen rushing toward an underground metro station to take shelter on Tuesday night (March 31) as sirens were heard across the port city, #warning residents of an incoming Iranian missile attack.… pic.twitter.com/PwBJZzDI3E — Chaudhary Parvez (@ChaudharyParvez) April 1, 2026 Gulf targets have also been added to the list, after on Thursday the IRGC said it initiated an attack on an Amazon Cloud computing center in Bahrain. Fars has cited the "destruction of the enemy's scientific and technological centers in the [Gulf] region, with a focus on Dubai. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 12:05

    - Tyler Durden

    Trump Puts State Farm, Other Insurers On Notice Over Treatment Of California Wildfire Victims Authored by Chris Summers via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), President Donald Trump on March 31 told State Farm and other insurers to “get their act together” after meeting with California politicians and hearing about the difficulties facing the victims of last year’s wildfires. A home is engulfed in flames during the Eaton fire in the Altadena area of Los Angeles County, Calif., on Jan. 8, 2025. Josh Edelson/AFP via Getty Images Two areas outside Los Angeles were devastated by wildfires in January 2025. In the Palisades fire, the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection reported that 6,831 structures were lost, 973 were damaged, and 12 people died. When combined with the nearby Eaton fire, which ignited in Altadena, north of Los Angeles, on Jan. 7, 2025, and claimed 18 lives, the two fires destroyed more than 12,000 structures. “I have just met with various Political Representatives of the tragedy that took place in California concerning the burning of thousands of once beautiful homes,” Trump wrote in a March 31 post on Truth Social. “It was brought to my attention that the Insurance Companies, in particular, State Farm, have been absolutely horrible to people that have been paying them large Premiums for years, only to find that when tragedy struck, these horrendous Companies were not there to help!” Trump said he had asked Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lee Zeldin to give him a list of the insurance companies that acted “swiftly, courageously, and bravely” and those that were “particularly bad.” The California Department of Insurance said in a June 2025 statement that Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara had launched a formal investigation into State Farm’s handling of thousands of insurance claims. “Some troubling patterns that my staff will investigate include the frequent reassignment of multiple adjusters with little continuity in communication, inconsistent management of similar claims, and inadequate record-keeping or information-sharing among claims teams,” Lara said at the time. “These issues create unnecessary stress, prolong recovery, and erode trust. I urge any wildfire survivor facing delayed payments, claim disputes, multiple adjusters, smoke damage issues, or any other problems to file a formal complaint with my Department.” On Nov. 13, 2025, Los Angeles County said that it had launched an investigation into State Farm’s handling of insurance claims filed by policyholders affected by the Eaton and Palisades fires, focused on potential violations of California’s Unfair Competition Law. A firefighter battles the Palisades Fire as it burns homes on the Pacific Coast Highway during a powerful windstorm in Los Angeles on Jan. 8, 2025. Apu Gomes/Getty Images “The investigation ... follows growing complaints from residents about delays, underpayments, and denials of legitimate wildfire claims,” the office of the county counsel said in a statement at the time. “The County has heard loud and clear from wildfire survivors that State Farm’s delays are standing in the way of rebuilding,“ Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors Chair Kathryn Barger said. ”Fair and timely insurance payments aren’t a privilege; they’re a right. State Farm must act quickly so survivors can rebuild their homes and their lives.” In a Sept. 30, 2025, statement about the California fires, State Farm said it had served customers with more than 13,500 claims and issued $5.7 billion in payments “to families whose homes, cars, and property were damaged or destroyed.” “Because many claims, repairs, and rebuilds are still underway, we expect total payments could reach $7 billion,” State Farm said. “Our leadership position in the California homeowners insurance marketplace means State Farm General Insurance Company—the State Farm company that provides homeowners insurance in California—insured more people impacted by this disaster than anyone else.” The Epoch Times reached out to State Farm, and they referred us to the above statement. Allan Stein contributed to this report. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 11:45

    - Tyler Durden

    Gulf Energy Shock Spreads To Global Plastics As War Sparks Force Majeure Wave Building on our earlier "Global Demand Destruction" note, which mapped how the Gulf energy shock is spreading globally and the immediate effects of rationing, price controls, and fuel shortages, another second-order disruption is quickly emerging: supply chain disruptions in critical plastic feedstocks. Plastics are core to the modern economy, and a troubling new Bloomberg report indicates that several producers of monoethylene glycol (MEG) and purified terephthalic acid (PTA) have declared force majeure, as tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain heavily disrupted. For context, MEG and PTA are the two primary feedstocks used to produce polyethylene terephthalate (PET) and polyester fibers. These petrochemicals are critical to the production of everyday consumer goods that make life in the developed world convenient, including plastic bottles, food packaging, clothing, home furnishings, and a wide range of consumer and industrial goods. More specifically, MEG is used in the production of polyester yarn, polyester staple fiber, PET resin, and PET film. It also plays a critical role in antifreeze, coolants, adhesives, coatings, and enamels. In other words, MEG and PTA are foundational petrochemical building blocks for the modern economy. Any sustained disruption to these flows would be detrimental to the global economy. Which brings us to the supply alarm bells already beginning to ring, courtesy of Bloomberg: Oriental Union Chemical Corp. warned US customers it would temporarily suspend MEG shipments for early March. The suspensions would persist until conditions stabilize, the Taipei-based company wrote in a customer letter. After March 11, shipments to customers continued as normal, with monthly pricing adjusted to reflect higher crude costs: Spokesperson Daniel Yu Ethylene oxide and ethylene glycol sales are mainly for customers on long-term contracts, he added. As disruptions mount across the industry, Taiwan has moved to boost capacity for ethylene output, according to a report by the semi-official Central News Agency. Hainan Yisheng Petrochemical Co. declared force majeure "for affected contracts/orders/delivery obligations," according to a letter sent to US customers. The Chinese maker of PET and PTA flagged disruptions stemming from the Hormuz shutdown. Indorama Ventures said in an early-March letter from its US and Canada regional sales team that it would raise prices on PET resin by 10 cents a pound across all businesses, citing higher feedstock costs and supply-chain disruptions linked to the Middle East conflict. The company said in a letter sent the following week that it would add an additional temporary 5-cent war surcharge. The company has also declared forces majeures on shipments from two PET units in Europe, S&P Global's Chemweek reported. Saudi Basic Industries Corp. last week told customers it would invoke force majeure for MEG and diethylene glycol. The duration of the disruptions "cannot be reasonably determined given the evolving nature of the circumstances," the company said, citing "unforeseen supply chain disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz." The market response has already seen a surge in US spot prices for ethylene, methanol, and polymer-grade propylene. This will likely translate into higher prices for everyday consumer goods, including trash bags, cleaning products, tires, food containers, and more. Last week, Dow CEO Jim Fitterling warned that Gulf petrochemical flows could take upwards of nine months to normalize if the Hormuz chokepoint were to open up in the near term. "Snacks, frozen foods and fresh protein products will be impacted first," EGC Consulting CEO Jonathan Quinn warned, adding, "The potato chip bag — that alone is going to see an increase of a nickel, a dime. Everything you buy is going to be impacted." Let's remind readers that China is the world's largest plastics consumer and producer, as per OECD data. Any supply disruption would ripple through the industrial base of the world's second-largest economy. Separately, JPMorgan analysts mapped out how the energy shockwave from the Iran war spreads across the world, hitting Asia first, then Africa and Europe, before settling on the US - primarily California. Source President Trump's speech on Wednesday night sparked a global risk-off move because, as Goldman analyst Peter Bartlett explained, the president "was more escalatory than not." This suggests the global energy shock is likely to worsen (unless Iran capitulates) in the weeks ahead, with plastics emerging as the next major problem facing the global economy. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 11:30

    - Tyler Durden

    April Fools And The Last Supper By Benjamin Picton, senior market strategist at Rabobank Wednesday saw the unusual occurrence of three Anglosphere heads of government delivering televised addresses to their respective nations within 24 hours of each other. When news broke that Australia’s PM Albanese, Britain’s PM Starmer and US President Trump would all be interrupting regular programming to speak to their people, reactions ranged from jubilant speculation that the war is about to end all the way through to nervousness that Operation Iranian Freedom was about to be announced. Judging by the price action in markets, the latter was certainly seen as the less likely of the two as stocks rose sharply across Asia, EMEA and the Americas, while Brent crude briefly dipped below the $100/bbl mark. Singapore gasoil spot prices fell by 22.7% - it’s largest daily move (up or down) of the war so far. Those moves are now revealed as an April Fool’s rally as Donald Trump’s address to the nation has sent oil bid, bond yields surging, high-beta FX lower and early rallies in Asian stocks have now turned deeply negative. Trump declined to announce that the USA is packing up and going home, instead declaring that “we are going to finish the job.” He said that the US owed it to 13 soldiers who have died in the conflict to complete the mission by ensuring that Iran would not have the capability to obtain a nuclear weapon, that it would no longer have the ability to project power beyond its borders, and by severely degrading its drone and missile stocks and the industrial base used to produce those conventional weapons. Trump says there is still time for Iran to make a deal to end the war but that the US is willing to leave without a deal and will eliminate key targets on their way out, pointing specifically to Iran’s electricity plants. He reiterated his previously expressed timeline of 2-3 weeks to conclude operations in Iran, but markets will be nervous about that as those timelines have a tendency to stretch. Critically, Trump also seemed to confirm rumors that the US is willing to leave without first securing freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, instead leaving that task to other countries (though he says the US will help) on the justification that they are far more reliant on Persian Gulf oil than the US is. Trump said that the Strait will ultimately re-open naturally when the war concludes as Iran will rely on oil sales to rebuild, but in the meantime he advises other countries to buy their oil and gas from the United States. The market optimism of the last 24 hours was always likely to be misplaced. The subtext of Trump’s remarks is that NATO and the GCC states must get involved in the war to re-open the Strait, or else suffer the consequences of US withdrawal for the world economy. Some – like the UAE – have expressed willingness, but most have not. If nobody steps up the war may grind on for longer (bad), escalate (worse), or the US may simply leave with Hormuz unresolved (worst). While the latter is a clear and present danger for world hydrocarbon markets and civilisation in general, it would also be a heavy blow for US hegemony and reserve currency status as American tactical victories sum to strategic defeat and Iran continues to operate the Strait as a toll road settled in CNY. Hours before Trump’s address, Australian viewers were left somewhat nonplussed by their Prime Minister’s primetime appearance. Given that Prime Ministerial addresses to the nation are incredibly rare, Australians were perhaps bracing for some grave Menzian announcement (“My fellow Australians. It is my melancholy duty to inform you...”) but were instead wished a happy Easter holiday period, warned that the months ahead may be hard and told to conserve fuel by taking public transport and resisting the urge to stockpile. Some commentators have cheekily observed that this one could have been an email, but in the aftermath of Trump’s address Albanese’s well wishes for the Easter holidays are feeling a bit more like the last supper as speculation mounts that Australia could be headed for fuel rationing as early as next week. Keir Starmer struck a slightly different tone to his antipodean counterpart by focusing more directly on Britain’s efforts to re-establish freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. Starmer noted that he had convened captains of industry from the shipping, finance and insurance sectors earlier in the week at Downing Street, and that they had told him the issue in Hormuz is not one of insurance, but of safety and security of passage. Starmer says that foreign ministers of 35 nations will meet later this week to explore diplomatic and political avenues to end the war and re-open the Strait, to be followed by a meeting of military leaders. Starmer was at pains to reiterate his message that this was not Britain’s war. The PM is currently between a rock and a hard place because involvement in the war upsets anti-war constituencies at home and draws the ire of the Iranian regime, while not becoming involved draws the ire of the US President. It is becoming very difficult to straddle these two imperatives as Trump tells NATO allies “I broke it, you bought it.” As a consequence of being faced with only bad choices, Britain has had a muddled approach of refusing US access to bases and then granting it, delaying deployment of HMS Dragon to the Eastern Mediterranean and then deploying it, and refusing requests to assist with naval escorts in the Strait - but is surely now forced to consider it. Combining this indecision with Spanish, French and Italian refusals to allow US access to bases, and suggestions that the war runs contrary to international law, the European relationship with the USA suddenly looks more strained than ever. This has severe implications for NATO, which Keir Starmer noted that Britain remains committed to, but Donald Trump and Marco Rubio have recently said the US may consider withdrawing from. This in turn has implications for the flow of US aid to Ukraine, where the United States may tell the EU “your problem now”, and also for the status of Greenland. Denmark and the EU were able to defuse Trump’s assertive stance on controlling Greenland last year by providing assurances that the US would have access to bases as it needs, but now that it has been refused access to bases in Europe for the Iran war, everything is back on the table. There is a reshuffling of strategic dependencies now occurring in real time. Starmer used his address to tell his people that Brexit had done deep damage to the British economy, and that Britain now had to draw closer to the EU to strengthen its economic and security relationships in its immediate geography. The subtext here is that Britain will pivot to the EU from the US, which puts the ‘Special Relationship’ on life support alongside NATO. This has implications elsewhere, especially in Australia where plans to acquire nuclear-propelled submarines rely on cooperation with and between Britain and the United States. As many Australian defence commentators have argued in the recent past, there is no Plan B if AUKUS falls apart, and Australia is already faced with a submarine capability gap as it’s 1990s-era Collins class submarines are looking very long in the tooth. Given its own geography, and the fact that it is so far down the AUKUS road, Australia may have no choice but to stick by the USA while other allies coalesce around Europe or chase Mark Carney’s ‘variable geometry’ system of alliances down the path of incongruent current accounts. Might we see an Australian Hobart class in the vanguard to answer Trump’s call to re-open the Strait? Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 11:15

    - Tyler Durden

    "Everything About This Market Is Wild": European Diesel Futs Top $200 As Global Scramble Accelerates The global tug-of-war for fuel looks set to accelerate, with traders scrambling to secure supplies even more aggressively after President Trump showed no signs of an end to hostilities (and a reopening of the Strait) any time soon. The longer the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the more intense the competition is likely to become. Traders have warned that Europe is at risk of diesel shortages in the coming weeks. “Everything about this market is wild,” said Philip Jones-Lux, a senior oil analyst at energy analytics firm Sparta Commodities. “Europe is still short of diesel, but the situation in Asia is so much more acute that prices there are pulling barrels halfway around the world.”. Nevertheless, Europe’s diesel futures rose to the highest level since 2022, as the Iran war hits supply of the fuel that powers the global economy. As Bloomberg reports, futures traded as high as $1,498 a ton, or more than $200 a barrel, as they surged as much as 9.7% in London. Prices have almost doubled since the war in the Middle East started over a month ago with US and Israeli attacks on Iran, and Tehran’s retaliation resulting in an effective closure of the vital Strait of Hormuz.   As Goldman futures trader, Robert Quinn notes (pro subs can read Quinn's full note here), the onset of the Iran War forced substantial producer short covering in European Diesel. According to Commitment of Traders, Gasoil Producer, Merchant, Processor, and User (PMPU) shorts tumbled -$13bn during February 24th - March 10th. This marked the largest 2 week decline since Russia attempted to invade Ukraine. But PMPU downside eventually reinitiated, albeit slowly. Over March 10th - 24th, PMPU shorts rebounded +$3.9bn. And speculators resumed long purchases. After generally liquidating throughout the initial price rally, Managed Money, Other, and Non-Reportable bought +$1.3bn of gross longs from March 17th - 24th. As questions surrounding the conflict's sustainability surfaced, general risk reduction ensued. Over March 24th - April 1st, which included the administration's initial signaling for an end to the fighting, Gasoil aggregate open interest shed -$3.7bn. Notably, 3 month implied volatility and normalized 25 delta put-call skew retraced from their respective max and min.  Thus Trump's recent vow to strike Iran "extremely hard" has conceivably prompted more speculative gross long buying and/or producer short terminations.  Europe generally produces less diesel than it consumes and relies on imports. But, interestingly, even as the 'normal' flow is into Europe, there is massive demand from the rest of the world - most notably Australia - where panic buying, especially in rural areas, has driven up demand and left some service stations out of fuel. The government has urged conservation, blaming the shortages on hoarding rather than underlying supply disruptions. As Bloomberg concludes, with little sign of when the Hormuz waterway might be fully reopened, pressure is increasing on diesel markets. The fuel is the lifeblood of the global economy - used to power everything from trucks to construction equipment - and rising prices risk driving up inflation around the world. The secondary (and tertiary) impact of Trump's war in Iran are just getting started. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 10:40

    - Tyler Durden

    "A Defining Moment": Nano Nuclear Submits Construction Permit For Kronos Reactor In Illinois Nano Nuclear submitted a Construction Permit Application (CPA) to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) for their Kronos microreactor project at the University of Illinois. The filing marks the latest step in a project we’ve tracked since site characterization began last fall. Watch: Modular Energy Pioneer Nano Nuclear Begins Drilling First Reactor In Illinois https://t.co/hUcFvtXfaD — zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 24, 2025 Kronos is a high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) engineered for commercial deployment. It delivers 15 megawatts of carbon-free baseload power using meltdown-resistant TRISO fuel and helium coolant. The design emphasizes walk-away safety, autonomous operation during grid outages, and scalability through multiple units. Intended uses include powering artificial intelligence data centers, industrial electrification, military bases, and remote communities.  Nano Nuclear acquired the technology in 2024 from Ultra Safe Nuclear Corp. and positioned it as one of the first commercially ready microreactor platforms. The University of Illinois partnership targets the first full-scale Kronos research reactor deployment. We detailed the October 2025 launch of geotechnical drilling and site characterization work, followed by a ceremonial groundbreaking. Those steps built on state support from Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker and positioned the campus project as the lead effort in Nano’s broader commercialization roadmap. The company has since expanded discussions for additional deployments in Texas, South Korea, and at U.S. federal sites. Under the NRC process, staff will first review the application package for completeness and docketing. Once accepted, the agency will conduct a formal technical and environmental evaluation. Nano estimates this formal review phase will take approximately 12 months, after which the NRC could authorize construction. The timeline aligns with recent agency efforts to streamline advanced reactor licensing while maintaining rigorous safety standards. Company executives described the submission as validation of years of engineering and pre-application engagement. Chief Technical Officer Florent Heidet called it “a defining moment” that separates ready projects from those still in early development.  The milestone keeps Nano on track for initial test operations at Illinois by the late 2020s and supports its goal of factory-built, fleet-scale microreactor production. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 10:10

    - Tyler Durden

    When Will This Sh*t Stop? Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news, A career criminal with 23 prior arrests and 70 charges was allowed to roam free until she stabbed a pregnant woman in broad daylight outside a Harris Teeter in Charlotte’s Cotswold Village Shopping Center on March 18.  The 38-year-old victim was loading her car with her three-year-old child nearby when Marvina Marie Hardy (also known as Marvina Marie Hardy-Butler), 40, of Waxhaw, attacked her with a steak knife, stabbing her in the sternum.  The victim fought back. Both she and her unborn baby are expected to recover. 🚨 HOLD JUDGES ACCOUNTABLE — RIGHT NOW. Career criminal with 23 prior arrests and 70 charges just stabbed a pregnant woman in a North Carolina parking lot. She should’ve been locked up for life years ago. Mercy to the guilty is cruelty to the innocent pic.twitter.com/cW3vQUzVvV — Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman) March 31, 2026 Hardy was tracked to Flagler County, Florida, after public tips and surveillance video from inside the store helped identify her.  She now faces extradition to North Carolina on charges of assault with a deadly weapon with intent to kill/inflict serious injury and battery of an unborn child. The motive remains unknown. This preventable horror is the direct result of a revolving-door justice system that treats violent repeat offenders like minor nuisances.  The same deadly pattern has repeated across blue cities and states. In Chicago, a man fresh out of jail threatened to kill white people with hammers on a CTA train, ranting racial threats just two days after release. That city’s transit system has faced the same chaos, with officials scrambling to meet federal demands after repeated attacks — including one where a career criminal with 72 prior arrests set a woman on fire on the Blue Line. Even more grotesque is the case of a cannibal axe murderer released back into society despite his sick crimes. In 2012, Tyree Smith hacked a homeless man to death with an axe in Bridgeport, Connecticut, then ate portions of his brain and eyeball. Found not guilty by reason of insanity, he was committed to a psychiatric hospital — only for the Connecticut Psychiatric Security Review Board to grant him conditional release after just over a decade, citing “clinical progress” through medication.  As we have highlighted, there are so many examples of recurring failures occurring weekly: These stories expose the same broken system: activist judges and soft-on-crime policies that rack up dozens of arrests and charges for predators, then slap them with low bonds or early releases.  From pregnant women in parking lots to transit riders, random innocents pay with blood while officials chase “rehabilitation” and “equity.” The public stepped up with tips that helped catch Hardy in Florida. That same energy must now demand real accountability from judges who keep unleashing monsters. Law-abiding Americans deserve to shop, ride trains, and walk streets without fear. Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews. Tyler Durden Thu, 04/02/2026 - 09:50

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